Playoff Odds & Projections
2026 season forecast · ST Model
Super Bowl Favorites
Projected Playoff Bracket
projected seeds
AFC Playoff Field
7 make it · + on the bubble
| # | Team | Make % | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUFBills | 82% | easy |
| 2 | HOUTexans | 77% | easy |
| 3 | JAXJaguars | 74% | easy |
| 4 | INDColts | 70% | easy |
| 5 | BALRavens | 69% | easy |
| 6 | KCChiefs | 59% | easy |
| 7 | DENBroncos | 50% | even |
| playoff cut | |||
| 8 | CINBengals | 49% | even |
| 9 | NEPatriots | 44% | even |
| 10 | PITSteelers | 44% | even |
AFC East
| Team | W | Div | Playoff | SB | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFBills | 10.0 | 68% | 82% | 20% | 11% |
| NEPatriots | 8.0 | 21% | 44% | 4% | 2% |
| MIADolphins | 7.0 | 10% | 25% | 2% | 1% |
| NYJJets | 5.0 | 1% | 3% | <1% | 0% |
AFC North
| Team | W | Div | Playoff | SB | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALRavens | 10.0 | 48% | 69% | 11% | 5% |
| CINBengals | 9.0 | 27% | 49% | 5% | 2% |
| PITSteelers | 8.0 | 23% | 44% | 3% | 2% |
| CLEBrowns | 6.0 | 3% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
AFC South
| Team | W | Div | Playoff | SB | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUTexans | 10.0 | 37% | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| JAXJaguars | 10.0 | 34% | 74% | 13% | 8% |
| INDColts | 10.0 | 29% | 70% | 11% | 6% |
| TENTitans | 5.0 | <1% | 3% | <1% | 0% |
AFC West
| Team | W | Div | Playoff | SB | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCChiefs | 9.0 | 42% | 59% | 8% | 4% |
| DENBroncos | 9.0 | 34% | 50% | 6% | 3% |
| LACChargers | 8.0 | 19% | 33% | 2% | 1% |
| LVRaiders | 6.0 | 5% | 10% | <1% | <1% |