NFL Projections · Targets

Receiving · 2025 (model vs actual) · full season (17 games) · ST Model

Passing Rushing Receiving Defense Kicking

Season2026 2025 2024

Projected leaders · Top 100

2025 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	Rec	Yds	TD	Tgt ↓	Rush
1	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	123	1,599	10.9	179	22
2	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	112	1,601	9.6	168	14
3	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	101	1,285	5.6	168	7
4	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	97	1,394	8.8	160	39
5	Drake London	WR	ATL	92	1,213	7.1	155	2
6	Puka Nacua	WR	LAR	104	1,232	4.5	147	26
7	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	97	1,393	7.2	146	15
8	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	103	937	5.9	145	—
9	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	82	1,085	7.4	143	1
10	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	96	1,133	6.9	143	8
11	Trey McBride	TE	ARI	94	1,055	5.7	143	—
12	Davante Adams	WR	LAR	80	1,041	8.1	142	1
13	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	ARI	81	1,069	6.3	138	3
14	Michael Pittman	WR	PIT	88	904	4.5	138	2
15	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	105	1,451	7.7	136	26
16	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	94	1,231	6.3	131	5
17	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	86	1,103	8.9	130	4
18	Chris Godwin	WR	TB	89	910	5.2	129	6
19	Marquise Brown	WR	PHI	61	635	3.9	129	8
20	Mike Evans	WR	SF	80	1,141	9.3	129	3
21	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	85	832	5.9	129	61
22	A.J. Brown	WR	NE	88	1,269	7.0	128	2
23	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	78	918	7.6	126	0
24	D.J. Moore	WR	BUF	91	1,015	5.8	125	34
25	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	82	1,059	5.3	125	28
26	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	92	1,042	5.3	123	8
27	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	83	991	8.8	123	9
28	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	84	874	4.8	117	10
29	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	85	1,227	7.4	115	1
30	George Pickens	WR	DAL	63	1,010	4.5	115	7
31	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	75	995	5.0	115	8
32	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	65	1,044	5.5	114	0
33	Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	69	571	3.2	114	—
34	Josh Downs	WR	IND	78	893	4.9	114	11
35	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	71	1,046	7.6	112	11
36	Jauan Jennings	WR	MIN	69	818	5.0	111	2
37	Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	TEN	85	629	3.2	111	24
38	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	60	846	3.6	111	5
39	Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	61	896	5.7	106	20
40	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	73	900	5.3	106	—
41	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	58	784	5.7	106	—
42	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	77	875	5.0	105	23
43	Darnell Mooney	WR	NYG	61	808	5.6	103	6
44	Brock Bowers	TE	LV	78	952	5.6	103	—
45	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	74	759	4.5	103	6
46	Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	70	629	2.9	103	—
47	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	75	855	4.6	103	1
48	David Njoku	TE	LAC	69	657	4.1	100	—
49	George Kittle	TE	SF	84	1,141	6.6	100	—
50	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	62	753	5.7	99	1
51	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	61	898	5.3	99	41
52	Xavier Legette	WR	CAR	62	584	3.7	96	11
53	Evan Engram	TE	DEN	64	644	2.2	95	—
54	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	69	765	4.2	94	—
55	Jayden Higgins	WR	HOU	55	625	4.4	93	—
56	Cade Otton	TE	TB	63	607	5.4	93	—
57	Tez Johnson	WR	TB	63	742	2.8	92	—
58	Keon Coleman	WR	BUF	48	694	4.8	92	11
59	Chris Olave	WR	NO	79	816	3.7	91	4
60	Tank Dell	WR	HOU	54	846	3.5	91	32
61	LaJohntay Wester	WR	BAL	57	698	1.8	90	—
62	Christian Kirk	WR	SF	47	625	2.7	89	3
63	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	53	659	4.1	89	1
64	Jaylen Waddle	WR	DEN	69	958	4.0	88	6
65	Elijah Moore	WR	PHI	55	532	4.0	86	11
66	Dominic Lovett	WR	DET	49	616	5.2	84	—
67	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	46	712	3.2	84	29
68	De'Von Achane	RB	MIA	65	490	4.5	84	874
69	Hunter Henry	TE	NE	56	563	3.3	83	—
70	Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	50	487	2.2	83	—
71	Jalen McMillan	WR	TB	47	579	4.2	82	21
72	Jayden Reed	WR	GB	56	941	5.6	82	138
73	Demario Douglas	WR	NE	65	621	2.4	81	13
74	Kayshon Boutte	WR	NE	48	572	3.0	81	4
75	Rashod Bateman	WR	BAL	45	634	5.2	81	1
76	Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL	68	464	1.6	80	1,403
77	Joshua Palmer	WR	BUF	50	682	3.3	79	2
78	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	50	617	4.2	79	1
79	Alvin Kamara	RB	NO	62	508	1.9	79	937
80	Mike Gesicki	TE	CIN	64	586	3.5	79	—
81	Dontayvion Wicks	WR	PHI	46	516	3.8	76	3
82	Tyler Conklin	TE	DET	52	511	2.6	76	—
83	Breece Hall	RB	NYJ	63	529	2.1	76	932
84	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	59	659	4.7	75	—
85	Chigoziem Okonkwo	TE	WAS	60	568	2.3	74	—
86	Dont'e Thornton	WR	LV	42	495	3.3	73	—
87	Savion Williams	WR	GB	40	539	2.9	72	—
88	Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	47	557	3.7	72	—
89	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	DET	55	509	2.5	72	1,263
90	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	44	607	5.2	70	2
91	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	60	614	3.1	70	—
92	Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	60	456	2.3	70	908
93	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	51	712	4.6	69	—
94	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	47	424	2.9	69	9
95	Tory Horton	WR	SEA	46	544	3.9	69	—
96	Adonai Mitchell	WR	NYJ	39	493	1.9	69	3
97	Gunnar Helm	TE	TEN	38	530	3.2	69	—
98	Oronde Gadsden	TE	LAC	39	547	3.3	68	—
99	Cam Skattebo	RB	NYG	47	383	1.5	68	935
100	Tai Felton	WR	MIN	39	514	2.9	68	—