NFL Projections · TD

Receiving · 2025 (model vs actual) · full season (17 games) · ST Model

Passing Rushing Receiving Defense Kicking

Season2026 2025 2024

Projected leaders · Top 100

2025 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	Rec	Yds	TD ↓	Tgt	Rush
1	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	123	1,599	10.9	179	22
2	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	112	1,601	9.6	168	14
3	Mike Evans	WR	SF	80	1,141	9.3	129	3
4	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	86	1,103	8.9	130	4
5	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	83	991	8.8	123	9
6	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	97	1,394	8.8	160	39
7	Davante Adams	WR	LAR	80	1,041	8.1	142	1
8	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	105	1,451	7.7	136	26
9	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	78	918	7.6	126	0
10	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	71	1,046	7.6	112	11
11	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	82	1,085	7.4	143	1
12	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	85	1,227	7.4	115	1
13	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	97	1,393	7.2	146	15
14	Drake London	WR	ATL	92	1,213	7.1	155	2
15	A.J. Brown	WR	NE	88	1,269	7.0	128	2
16	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	96	1,133	6.9	143	8
17	George Kittle	TE	SF	84	1,141	6.6	100	—
18	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	94	1,231	6.3	131	5
19	Pat Bryant	WR	DEN	38	551	6.3	68	—
20	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	ARI	81	1,069	6.3	138	3
21	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	103	937	5.9	145	—
22	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	85	832	5.9	129	61
23	D.J. Moore	WR	BUF	91	1,015	5.8	125	34
24	Trey McBride	TE	ARI	94	1,055	5.7	143	—
25	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	58	784	5.7	106	—
26	Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	61	896	5.7	106	20
27	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	62	753	5.7	99	1
28	Jayden Reed	WR	GB	56	941	5.6	82	138
29	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	101	1,285	5.6	168	7
30	Brock Bowers	TE	LV	78	952	5.6	103	—
31	Darnell Mooney	WR	NYG	61	808	5.6	103	6
32	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	65	1,044	5.5	114	0
33	Cade Otton	TE	TB	63	607	5.4	93	—
34	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	73	900	5.3	106	—
35	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	82	1,059	5.3	125	28
36	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	61	898	5.3	99	41
37	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	92	1,042	5.3	123	8
38	Dominic Lovett	WR	DET	49	616	5.2	84	—
39	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	44	607	5.2	70	2
40	Rashod Bateman	WR	BAL	45	634	5.2	81	1
41	Chris Godwin	WR	TB	89	910	5.2	129	6
42	Jauan Jennings	WR	MIN	69	818	5.0	111	2
43	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	75	995	5.0	115	8
44	Junior Bergen	WR	SF	37	599	5.0	65	—
45	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	77	875	5.0	105	23
46	Josh Downs	WR	IND	78	893	4.9	114	11
47	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	84	874	4.8	117	10
48	Keon Coleman	WR	BUF	48	694	4.8	92	11
49	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	59	659	4.7	75	—
50	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	51	712	4.6	69	—
51	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	75	855	4.6	103	1
52	Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT	54	490	4.5	65	—
53	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	74	759	4.5	103	6
54	George Pickens	WR	DAL	63	1,010	4.5	115	7
55	De'Von Achane	RB	MIA	65	490	4.5	84	874
56	Puka Nacua	WR	LAR	104	1,232	4.5	147	26
57	Michael Pittman	WR	PIT	88	904	4.5	138	2
58	Jayden Higgins	WR	HOU	55	625	4.4	93	—
59	Cole Kmet	TE	CHI	56	564	4.2	56	—
60	AJ Barner	TE	SEA	49	353	4.2	51	—
61	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	69	765	4.2	94	—
62	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	50	617	4.2	79	1
63	Jalen McMillan	WR	TB	47	579	4.2	82	21
64	Isaiah Likely	TE	NYG	44	474	4.1	56	—
65	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	53	659	4.1	89	1
66	David Njoku	TE	LAC	69	657	4.1	100	—
67	Ja'Tavion Sanders	TE	CAR	47	486	4.1	65	—
68	Tyrell Shavers	WR	BUF	15	479	4.0	36	4
69	Christian Watson	WR	GB	43	729	4.0	65	26
70	Jaylen Waddle	WR	DEN	69	958	4.0	88	6
71	Elijah Moore	WR	PHI	55	532	4.0	86	11
72	Jonathan Mingo	WR	DAL	35	341	3.9	62	1
73	Tory Horton	WR	SEA	46	544	3.9	69	—
74	Marquise Brown	WR	PHI	61	635	3.9	129	8
75	Jalen Coker	WR	CAR	43	621	3.9	65	1
76	Cedric Tillman	WR	CLE	39	489	3.8	65	5
77	Andrei Iosivas	WR	CIN	37	501	3.8	61	1
78	Dontayvion Wicks	WR	PHI	46	516	3.8	76	3
79	Chimere Dike	WR	TEN	32	358	3.7	47	—
80	Chris Olave	WR	NO	79	816	3.7	91	4
81	Marvin Mims	WR	DEN	48	582	3.7	58	26
82	Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	47	557	3.7	72	—
83	Xavier Legette	WR	CAR	62	584	3.7	96	11
84	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	60	846	3.6	111	5
85	Mike Gesicki	TE	CIN	64	586	3.5	79	—
86	Jalen Nailor	WR	LV	36	454	3.5	52	7
87	Tank Dell	WR	HOU	54	846	3.5	91	32
88	Nick Nash	WR	WAS	41	616	3.4	62	—
89	Jelani Woods	TE	NYJ	33	399	3.4	54	—
90	Joshua Palmer	WR	BUF	50	682	3.3	79	2
91	Hunter Henry	TE	NE	56	563	3.3	83	—
92	Dont'e Thornton	WR	LV	42	495	3.3	73	—
93	Oronde Gadsden	TE	LAC	39	547	3.3	68	—
94	Elic Ayomanor	WR	TEN	24	324	3.2	41	—
95	Ricky Pearsall	WR	SF	41	559	3.2	65	19
96	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	46	712	3.2	84	29
97	Noah Gray	TE	KC	42	453	3.2	54	—
98	Harold Fannin	TE	CLE	35	402	3.2	55	—
99	Gunnar Helm	TE	TEN	38	530	3.2	69	—
100	Noah Fant	TE	NO	39	452	3.2	59	—