NFL Projections · TD

Receiving · 2024 (model vs actual) · full season (17 games) · ST Model

Passing Rushing Receiving Defense Kicking

Season2026 2025 2024

Projected leaders · Top 100

2024 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	Rec	Yds	TD ↓	Tgt	Rush
1	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	96	1,043	9.7	122	—
2	George Kittle	TE	SF	68	1,072	9.3	94	—
3	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	116	1,297	9.1	164	42
4	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	115	1,411	9.0	158	55
5	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	106	1,569	8.3	157	11
6	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	92	1,125	8.1	147	6
7	Puka Nacua	WR	LAR	99	1,382	7.9	154	26
8	Mike Evans	WR	SF	75	1,076	7.7	122	2
9	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	111	1,379	7.6	163	13
10	A.J. Brown	WR	NE	104	1,307	7.3	151	1
11	D.J. Moore	WR	BUF	83	1,074	7.0	123	15
12	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	79	1,099	6.9	111	3
13	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	91	1,074	6.9	133	19
14	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	86	915	6.9	113	—
15	Tank Dell	WR	HOU	63	1,090	6.9	105	39
16	Jaylen Waddle	WR	DEN	78	1,181	6.7	121	21
17	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	87	1,086	6.6	112	4
18	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	82	878	6.3	112	—
19	Davante Adams	WR	LAR	86	1,135	6.2	147	0
20	Michael Pittman	WR	PIT	99	978	6.2	148	10
21	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	82	1,082	6.2	119	11
22	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	71	1,019	6.2	122	0
23	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	54	675	6.1	86	—
24	Chris Olave	WR	NO	92	1,226	5.9	133	4
25	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	ARI	52	659	5.8	84	—
26	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	61	749	5.8	96	—
27	Jayden Reed	WR	GB	79	912	5.7	115	45
28	Brenden Rice	WR	GB	44	687	5.7	76	—
29	David Njoku	TE	LAC	65	755	5.6	94	—
30	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	82	995	5.6	113	—
31	Christian Kirk	WR	SF	67	951	5.5	113	5
32	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	80	1,075	5.4	124	12
33	George Pickens	WR	DAL	62	1,043	5.4	95	8
34	Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	74	887	5.4	126	7
35	Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	71	746	5.4	99	—
36	Cole Kmet	TE	CHI	62	637	5.3	79	—
37	Drake London	WR	ATL	67	960	5.3	112	0
38	Jalen McMillan	WR	TB	53	710	5.2	87	—
39	Chris Godwin	WR	TB	96	1,090	5.1	136	11
40	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	40	523	5.0	58	1
41	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	93	1,134	5.0	151	19
42	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	62	973	4.9	95	1
43	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	72	976	4.8	121	6
44	Joshua Palmer	WR	BUF	55	812	4.8	87	4
45	Evan Engram	TE	DEN	74	787	4.7	108	—
46	Jacob Cowing	WR	SF	67	763	4.6	98	—
47	Christian Watson	WR	GB	46	658	4.6	86	28
48	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	68	695	4.4	95	4
49	Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	80	793	4.3	110	—
50	Jha'Quan Jackson	WR	HOU	27	476	4.3	44	—
51	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	65	725	4.3	98	—
52	Dawson Knox	TE	BUF	39	362	4.3	57	—
53	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	63	658	4.3	102	1
54	Dontayvion Wicks	WR	PHI	51	737	4.2	76	3
55	Trey McBride	TE	ARI	73	737	4.2	100	—
56	Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	59	573	4.2	94	—
57	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	46	738	4.2	80	1
58	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	59	730	4.2	97	2
59	Jalen Coker	WR	CAR	32	416	4.2	59	—
60	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	WR	IND	40	523	4.1	63	0
61	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	80	712	4.1	109	11
62	Keon Coleman	WR	BUF	43	651	4.1	80	—
63	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	68	820	4.0	109	—
64	Josh Downs	WR	IND	80	930	4.0	117	16
65	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	55	776	3.9	86	6
66	Isaiah Likely	TE	NYG	39	445	3.9	57	—
67	Tim Patrick	WR	NYJ	45	634	3.8	70	1
68	Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	43	657	3.8	77	—
69	Marquise Brown	WR	PHI	71	694	3.8	121	14
70	K.J. Osborn	WR	TEN	51	562	3.8	81	5
71	Tejhaun Palmer	WR	ARI	39	532	3.7	67	—
72	Elijah Moore	WR	PHI	55	644	3.7	88	21
73	Devaughn Vele	WR	NO	41	542	3.7	73	—
74	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	66	783	3.7	95	—
75	Cade Otton	TE	TB	49	502	3.6	64	—
76	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	44	714	3.6	67	24
77	Luke Musgrave	TE	GB	46	565	3.6	68	—
78	Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT	50	537	3.6	70	—
79	Michael Mayer	TE	LV	41	464	3.4	58	—
80	Juwan Johnson	TE	NO	36	371	3.4	54	—
81	Jelani Woods	TE	NYJ	34	426	3.4	59	—
82	Jonathan Mingo	WR	DAL	48	530	3.4	90	8
83	Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	63	555	3.4	90	1,252
84	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	47	529	3.4	61	—
85	Hunter Henry	TE	NE	36	446	3.3	56	—
86	Durham Smythe	TE	BAL	33	332	3.3	40	—
87	Devontez Walker	WR	BAL	23	390	3.2	40	—
88	Quez Watkins	WR	PHI	36	419	3.2	54	2
89	Ben Sinnott	TE	WAS	38	426	3.2	65	—
90	Jahan Dotson	WR	ATL	46	508	3.1	77	5
91	Andrei Iosivas	WR	CIN	31	323	3.1	48	4
92	Isaiah Hodgins	WR	NYG	32	411	3.0	46	4
93	Brandon Johnson	WR	LV	31	398	3.0	43	5
94	Tyler Higbee	TE	LAR	54	536	3.0	83	—
95	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	40	607	3.0	57	15
96	Darnell Mooney	WR	NYG	49	584	3.0	79	13
97	Odell Beckham	WR	NYG	38	517	3.0	74	13
98	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	40	568	3.0	64	28
99	Luke McCaffrey	WR	WAS	45	597	3.0	84	—
100	Cade Stover	TE	HOU	42	498	3.0	63	—