
Description
- Position
- QB
- Team
- Texas
- Class
- SO
- Jersey
- #16
- Height
- 6'4"
- Weight
- 219 lb
- Hometown
- New Orleans, LA
- Last active
- 2025
Recruiting
High School
- National Rank
- #1
- Stars
- ★★★★★
- Rating
- 0.9995
- Class
- 2023
- Committed To
- Texas
- Hometown
- New Orleans, LA
Accolades
1
5-Star Recruit2023
2026 Projection
QB
Pass Yds
2230
1618–2705
Pass TD
17
8–22
INT
6
2–10
Completions
179
112–220
Rush Yds
233
4–480
Rush TD
6
3–8
Season Stats
Regular season
Game Log
Latest season
| Wk | Opp | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Yds | TD | INT | Y/A | QBR | Rtg | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Fum | Lost | FR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | 17 | 30 | 56.7 | 170 | 1 | 1 | 5.7 | — | 108.6 | 10 | 38 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1 | Michigan | 21 | 34 | 61.8 | 221 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 | — | 135.8 | 9 | 155 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2 | San José State | 19 | 30 | 63.3 | 295 | 4 | 1 | 9.8 | — | 183.3 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | UTEP | 11 | 25 | 44 | 114 | 1 | 1 | 4.6 | — | 87.5 | 9 | 51 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Sam Houston | 18 | 21 | 85.7 | 309 | 3 | 0 | 14.7 | — | 256.5 | 5 | 11 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Florida | 16 | 29 | 55.2 | 263 | 2 | 2 | 9.1 | — | 140.3 | 15 | 37 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 7 | Oklahoma | 21 | 27 | 77.8 | 166 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 | — | 141.6 | 4 | 34 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 8 | Kentucky | 12 | 27 | 44.4 | 132 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 | — | 85.5 | 11 | -1 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 9 | Mississippi State | 29 | 46 | 63 | 346 | 3 | 1 | 7.5 | — | 143.4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 10 | Vanderbilt | 25 | 33 | 75.8 | 328 | 3 | 0 | 9.9 | — | 189.2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 12 | Georgia | 27 | 43 | 62.8 | 251 | 1 | 1 | 5.8 | — | 114.8 | 5 | -17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arkansas | 18 | 30 | 60 | 389 | 4 | 0 | 13 | — | 212.9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 14 | Texas A&M | 14 | 29 | 48.3 | 179 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | — | 111.5 | 7 | 53 | 1 | — | — | — |
Stat Profile
2025 · vs 266 QBs
Pass Yds
294286
Rating
145.871
Y/A
8.075
Pass TD
2488
INT
736
PPA
0.2555
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Volume vs Efficiency
2025 · vs 266
dashed lines = position median · top-right = high volume + efficiency
Recruiting → Production
2025 · pedigree vs PPA
Below the hype-42 pct vs pedigree
Pedigree★★★★★ 0.9995 · #1 nat'l
Production55th pct PPA · vs 266 peers
Pedigree = national recruiting standing (stars + composite rating). Production = opponent-adjusted PPA percentile vs same-position FBS peers that season.
Career Arc
Pass Yds by season
PPA Trend
opp-adjusted / play
— Overall— Pass— Rush
Career Highs
| Stat | Best Season | Career |
|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 2,942'25 | 3,910 |
| Pass TD | 24'25 | 33 |
| Rush Yds | 244'25 | 351 |
Usage
2025 · share of team
Overall
50%
Rush
15%
Pass
82%
1st Down
43%
2nd Down
46%
3rd Down
67%
Standard Downs
43%
Passing Downs
63%
Usage Trend
share of team by season
— Overall— Standard Downs— Passing Downs
Game Trend
2025 · Pass Yds
Pass Yds per game
Consistency
2025 · Pass Yds
| Per game | 245.2 |
| Ceiling (90th) | 344.2 |
| Floor (10th) | 135.4 |
| Std dev | 87.1 |
| Boom rate | 8% |
| Bust rate | 8% |
| Profile | Moderate |
Boom ≥1.5× avg · Bust ≤0.5× avg · 12 games
PPA Profile
2025 · opp-adjusted / play
Overall
0.25
By play type
Pass
0.21
Rush
0.59
By down
1st Down
0.14
2nd Down
0.33
3rd Down
0.50
By down type
Standard Downs
0.15
Passing Downs
0.39
Points Per Attempt added vs the average play, adjusted for opponent strength. Right = above baseline, left = below.
News
5 items
- CBS Sports analyst predicts Texas’s 2026 record, order of finish in SECOne CBS Sports analyst has laid out his expectations for Texas in 2026, Arch Manning's second season as starting QB. The post CBS Sports analyst predicts Texas’s 2026 record, order of finish in SEC appeared first on Saturday Down South.
- Arch Manning's NFL star grandfather laments hype around Texas quarterbackFormer NFL star Archie Manning says people unfairly crowned Arch Manning before he ever played, expressing disappointment at the hype surrounding his start at Texas.
- Peyton Manning picks side before Texas faces Tennessee in 2026 SEC OpenerOne of the college football teams with the highest expectations this season is the Texas Longhorns. Led by quarterback Arch Manning, Texas is widely expected to contend for a spot in the College Football Playoff. However, the Longhorns’ fourth game…
- Arch Manning shockingly comes in as No. 6 QB in EA Sports College Football 27Texas QB Arch Manning is picked by many as the projected top pick of the 2027 NFL Draft. EA Sports handed him a stunning ranking, though.
- Could Arch Manning turn down the NFL, return to Texas in 2027? Steve Sarkisian 'wouldn't be surprised'Manning could potentially be the No. 1 QB taken next April, but the Longhorns coach isn't convinced 2026 will be his final season in Austin