How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
TB — the basics
425 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 106-107 | 50% | +0.6 | 35/213 | n=213 |
| vs NO | 23-27 | 46% | -1.2 | 8/50 | n=50 |
| in a division game | 74-85 | 47% | -0.2 | 24/159 | n=159 |
| in the Sunday early window | 134-125 | 52% | +0.8 | 38/259 | n=259 |
| in January | 13-18 | 42% | +0.9 | 9/31 | n=31 |
| indoors | 49-41 | 54% | +2.1 | 19/90 | n=90 |
| on turf | 60-57 | 51% | +1.4 | 25/117 | n=117 |
| at this venue | 14-10 | 58% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| under this head coach | 31-40 | 44% | +0.0 | 71/71 | n=71 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 41-49 | 46% | +0.1 | 71/90 | n=90 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
TB — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=425 |
| TB has failed to cover 9 straight | n=9 |
TB — combinations
172 lean TB · 23 lean against
Read this first. 221 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 78% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at this venue + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +10.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + at this venue | 11-5 | 69%from 52% | +5.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| on turf + under this head coach | 17-8 | 68%from 51% | +4.5 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +4.5 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| indoors + under this head coach | 12-7 | 63%from 54% | +4.3 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-7 | 63%from 63% | +4.3 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| in the Sunday early window + indoors | 37-23 | 62%from 52% | +3.0 | 10/60 | n=60 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-2 | 83%from 62% | +5.8 | 10/12 | n=12 |
| + under this head coach | 8-2 | 80%from 62% | +6.3 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-2 | 80%from 80% | +6.3 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 11-5 | 69%from 62% | +5.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| + on turf | 37-21 | 64%from 62% | +3.9 | 10/58 | n=58 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-2 | 83%from 64% | +5.8 | 10/12 | n=12 |
| + under this head coach | 8-2 | 80%from 64% | +6.3 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 11-5 | 69%from 64% | +5.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| on turf + in the last 5 seasons | 19-12 | 61%from 51% | +2.6 | 25/31 | n=31 |
| indoors + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 54% | +2.7 | 19/23 | n=23 |
| on the road + vs NO | 15-10 | 60%from 50% | +3.3 | 4/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 60% | +10.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 12-5 | 71%from 60% | +5.2 | 3/17 | n=17 |
| + indoors | 11-5 | 69%from 71% | +5.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| + on turf | 11-5 | 69%from 71% | +5.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| + at this venue | 11-5 | 69%from 71% | +5.3 | 3/16 | n=16 |
| + in a division game | 15-10 | 60%from 60% | +3.3 | 4/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 60% | +10.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 12-5 | 71%from 60% | +5.2 | 3/17 | n=17 |
| + indoors | 14-10 | 58%from 60% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + on turf | 14-10 | 58%from 60% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + at this venue | 14-10 | 58%from 60% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + indoors | 14-10 | 58%from 60% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +10.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 14-10 | 58%from 58% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + at this venue | 14-10 | 58%from 58% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + on turf | 14-10 | 58%from 60% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +10.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 14-10 | 58%from 58% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + at this venue | 14-10 | 58%from 60% | +3.3 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +10.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.