SF at ARI—

ST Model SF -3.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 18

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-109	50%	-0.6	83/217	n=217
vs ARI	25-23	52%	+1.0	17/48	n=48
in a division game	79-81	49%	+0.3	56/160	n=160
in the Sunday early window	47-59	44%	-1.4	31/106	n=106
in January	22-15	59%	+1.8	20/37	n=37
on grass	158-166	49%	+0.2	123/324	n=324
at this venue	13-9	59%	+0.8	11/22	n=22
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

64 lean SF · 30 lean against

Read this first. 122 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + at this venue	13-7	65%from 49%	+2.0	9/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 65%	+0.9	9/9	n=9
on the road + at this venue	12-7	63%from 50%	+1.9	8/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 63%	+0.5	8/8	n=8
vs ARI + at this venue	12-7	63%from 52%	+1.9	8/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 63%	+0.5	8/8	n=8
in a division game + in January	10-6	63%from 49%	+3.3	9/16	n=16
+ on grass	6-3	67%from 63%	+3.4	6/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	3-3	50%from 67%	-1.6	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 67%	-2.7	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 63%	-3.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 56%	-4.4	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 63%	-4.4	8/8	n=8
in January + under this head coach	12-8	60%from 59%	-1.0	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 60%	-2.5	17/17	n=17
on grass + at this venue	13-9	59%from 49%	+0.8	11/22	n=22
+ under this head coach	5-6	45%from 59%	-1.3	11/11	n=11
on the road + vs ARI	14-10	58%from 50%	+1.7	9/24	n=24
+ at this venue	12-7	63%from 58%	+1.9	8/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 63%	+0.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 58%	+3.5	5/5	n=5
+ in a division game	14-10	58%from 58%	+1.7	9/24	n=24
+ at this venue	12-7	63%from 58%	+1.9	8/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 58%	+3.5	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	13-10	57%from 58%	+1.0	8/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 58%	+2.4	9/9	n=9
+ on grass	13-10	57%from 58%	+1.0	8/23	n=23
+ at this venue	12-7	63%from 57%	+1.9	8/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 57%	+0.5	8/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 58%	+2.4	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	+3.5	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ARI — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

at home	105-109	49%	-0.6	25/214	n=214
vs SF	23-25	48%	-1.0	6/48	n=48
in a division game	73-85	46%	-1.8	18/158	n=158
in the Sunday early window	58-59	50%	-2.2	15/117	n=117
in January	13-12	52%	-3.3	3/25	n=25
on grass	157-156	50%	-0.7	35/313	n=313
at this venue	81-83	49%	-0.5	25/164	n=164
under this head coach	26-25	51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	51/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ARI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=424
ARI has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

ARI — combinations

24 lean ARI · 65 lean against

Read this first. 110 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 50%	-0.3	15/21	n=21
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	10-5	67%from 50%	-0.8	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 67%	-0.8	15/15	n=15
at home + in January	7-4	64%from 49%	-3.2	2/11	n=11
+ on grass	7-4	64%from 64%	-3.2	2/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 64%	-3.6	2/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 64%	-3.6	2/10	n=10
in a division game + in the Sunday early window	9-6	60%from 46%	-0.1	0/15	n=15
in January + at this venue	6-4	60%from 52%	-3.6	2/10	n=10
in January + on grass	10-8	56%from 52%	-2.5	2/18	n=18
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 56%	-3.6	2/10	n=10
in the Sunday early window + on grass	29-26	53%from 50%	-1.1	7/55	n=55
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 53%	+3.6	7/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 53%	+0.2	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	+0.2	7/7	n=7
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	26-25	51%from 51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	30-30	50%from 50%	-0.2	35/60	n=60
vs SF + in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 48%	-0.5	6/10	n=10
in January + in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 52%	-1.3	3/8	n=8
vs SF + under this head coach	3-3	50%from 48%	+0.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 50%	+0.7	6/6	n=6
at home + at this venue	81-83	49%from 49%	-0.5	25/164	n=164
+ under this head coach	12-13	48%from 49%	+0.3	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-13	48%from 48%	+0.3	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-23	44%from 49%	-2.3	25/41	n=41

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.