PIT at BAL—

ST Model BAL -4.5

Trends · player props · 2026 week 18

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-102	53%	+0.5	0/217	n=217
vs BAL	29-25	54%	-1.0	0/54	n=54
in a division game	99-68	59%	+2.1	0/167	n=167
in the Sunday early window	127-95	57%	+1.7	0/222	n=222
in January	25-16	61%	+1.1	0/41	n=41
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	16-11	59%	-1.6	0/27	n=27
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

184 lean PIT · 3 lean against

Read this first. 201 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs BAL + in January	7-2	78%from 54%	+2.0	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 78%	+3.2	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	7-2	78%from 78%	+2.0	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 78%	+3.2	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 78%	+1.9	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 78%	+1.9	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 75%	+3.2	0/5	n=5
vs BAL + in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 54%	+3.1	0/11	n=11
in a division game + in January	15-6	71%from 59%	+3.8	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 71%	+5.1	0/8	n=8
+ outdoors	15-6	71%from 71%	+3.8	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 71%	+5.1	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	13-6	68%from 71%	+3.5	0/19	n=19
+ on grass	13-6	68%from 71%	+3.5	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 68%	+5.1	0/8	n=8
on grass + at this venue	10-4	71%from 54%	+2.5	0/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+1.7	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in January	11-5	69%from 57%	+5.1	0/16	n=16
+ on grass	9-4	69%from 69%	+4.4	0/13	n=13
+ outdoors	10-5	67%from 69%	+4.7	0/15	n=15
+ on grass	9-4	69%from 67%	+4.4	0/13	n=13
on the road + in January	13-6	68%from 53%	+3.7	0/19	n=19
+ on grass	10-4	71%from 68%	+3.7	0/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 71%	+0.3	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	12-6	67%from 68%	+3.3	0/18	n=18
+ on grass	10-4	71%from 67%	+3.7	0/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 67%	-0.4	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 68%	-0.4	0/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

at home	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
vs PIT	25-29	46%	+1.0	0/54	n=54
in a division game	82-81	50%	+1.2	0/163	n=163
off a bye	31-21	60%	+2.9	0/52	n=52
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in January	24-21	53%	+2.6	0/45	n=45
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
at this venue	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

37 lean BAL · 239 lean against

Read this first. 297 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in January + on grass	16-11	59%from 53%	+4.5	0/27	n=27
+ at this venue	5-6	45%from 59%	-2.2	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 45%	+0.6	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 59%	-0.2	0/9	n=9
off a bye + outdoors	25-20	56%from 60%	+2.2	0/45	n=45
+ on grass	17-14	55%from 56%	+2.6	0/31	n=31
+ at this venue	8-9	47%from 55%	+1.1	0/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 55%	-0.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	15-14	52%from 56%	+1.9	0/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 52%	-0.1	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-7	36%from 56%	-0.3	0/11	n=11
off a bye + on grass	17-14	55%from 60%	+2.6	0/31	n=31
+ at this venue	8-9	47%from 55%	+1.1	0/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 47%	-0.1	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 55%	-0.8	0/10	n=10
in January + outdoors	24-20	55%from 53%	+2.9	0/44	n=44
+ on grass	16-11	59%from 55%	+4.5	0/27	n=27
+ at this venue	5-6	45%from 59%	-2.2	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 59%	-0.2	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 55%	-0.5	0/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-11	35%from 55%	-2.4	0/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 35%	+0.6	0/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window + on grass	76-65	54%from 53%	+2.4	0/141	n=141
+ at this venue	35-36	49%from 54%	+2.2	0/71	n=71
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-15	38%from 49%	+0.9	0/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-20	38%from 54%	+0.5	0/32	n=32

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.