How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NYJ — the basics
419 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 95-116 | 45% | -1.4 | 8/211 | n=211 |
| vs BUF | 24-28 | 46% | -1.4 | 2/52 | n=52 |
| in a division game | 73-84 | 47% | -1.4 | 6/157 | n=157 |
| in the Sunday early window | 119-122 | 49% | +0.4 | 14/241 | n=241 |
| in January | 15-13 | 54% | +4.3 | 1/28 | n=28 |
| outdoors | 179-208 | 46% | -1.0 | 16/387 | n=387 |
| on turf | 127-148 | 46% | -0.8 | 12/275 | n=275 |
| at this venue | 11-13 | 46% | -1.6 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| under this head coach | 7-10 | 41% | -5.7 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 33-51 | 39% | -2.8 | 17/84 | n=84 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NYJ — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game | n=419 |
| NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight | n=5 |
NYJ — combinations
42 lean NYJ · 156 lean against
Read this first. 223 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in January + on turf | 11-7 | 61%from 54% | +5.2 | 1/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 61% | +0.7 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| in January + outdoors | 14-11 | 56%from 54% | +5.1 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + on turf | 10-5 | 67%from 56% | +6.9 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +0.7 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 56% | +0.4 | 1/7 | n=7 |
| in the Sunday early window + at this venue | 9-8 | 53%from 49% | +0.1 | 0/17 | n=17 |
| vs BUF + in the Sunday early window | 17-16 | 52%from 46% | +0.1 | 1/33 | n=33 |
| + at this venue | 9-8 | 53%from 52% | +0.1 | 0/17 | n=17 |
| + outdoors | 17-16 | 52%from 52% | +0.1 | 1/33 | n=33 |
| + at this venue | 9-8 | 53%from 52% | +0.1 | 0/17 | n=17 |
| + on turf | 15-15 | 50%from 52% | -0.5 | 1/30 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 52% | -5.8 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 15-15 | 50%from 52% | -0.5 | 1/30 | n=30 |
| + at this venue | 9-8 | 53%from 50% | +0.1 | 0/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | -5.8 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 52% | -5.8 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + in a division game | 40-39 | 51%from 45% | -0.4 | 3/79 | n=79 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 24-23 | 51%from 51% | +0.2 | 0/47 | n=47 |
| + at this venue | 9-8 | 53%from 51% | +0.1 | 0/17 | n=17 |
| + outdoors | 24-23 | 51%from 51% | +0.2 | 0/47 | n=47 |
| + on turf | 11-14 | 44%from 51% | -2.2 | 0/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-6 | 40%from 51% | -6.5 | 0/10 | n=10 |
| + in January | 1-5 | 17%from 51% | -2.6 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 38-37 | 51%from 51% | -0.0 | 3/75 | n=75 |
| + at this venue | 11-13 | 46%from 51% | -1.6 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + on turf | 18-24 | 43%from 51% | -2.8 | 2/42 | n=42 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-11 | 27%from 51% | -6.8 | 3/15 | n=15 |
| + at this venue | 11-13 | 46%from 51% | -1.6 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-4 | 20%from 46% | -9.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 20-26 | 43%from 51% | -3.2 | 2/46 | n=46 |
| + at this venue | 11-13 | 46%from 43% | -1.6 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-8 | 20%from 43% | -7.9 | 2/10 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-11 | 27%from 51% | -6.8 | 3/15 | n=15 |
| + in January | 2-7 | 22%from 51% | -1.6 | 1/9 | n=9 |
| + on turf | 2-4 | 33%from 22% | -0.3 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 2-7 | 22%from 22% | -1.6 | 1/9 | n=9 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.