LV at KC—

ST Model KC -8.5

Trends · player props · 2026 week 18

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LV — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	102-106	49%	-1.7	0/208	n=208
vs KC	26-25	51%	-1.2	0/51	n=51
in a division game	78-78	50%	+0.0	0/156	n=156
in the Sunday early window	51-64	44%	-3.9	0/115	n=115
in January	12-11	52%	-0.1	0/23	n=23
outdoors	149-179	45%	-1.5	0/328	n=328
on grass	167-179	48%	-0.9	0/346	n=346
at this venue	16-9	64%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
in the last 5 seasons	41-43	49%	-1.7	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LV — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -7.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=419

LV — combinations

115 lean LV · 30 lean against

Read this first. 163 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + at this venue	15-8	65%from 48%	+1.4	0/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 65%	-2.3	0/5	n=5
on the road + vs KC	16-9	64%from 49%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ on grass	15-8	65%from 64%	+1.4	0/23	n=23
+ at this venue	15-8	65%from 65%	+1.4	0/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 65%	-2.3	0/5	n=5
+ in a division game	16-9	64%from 64%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ on grass	15-8	65%from 64%	+1.4	0/23	n=23
+ outdoors	16-9	64%from 64%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ at this venue	16-9	64%from 64%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	-2.3	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	8-6	57%from 64%	+0.3	0/14	n=14
+ outdoors	16-9	64%from 64%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ on grass	15-8	65%from 64%	+1.4	0/23	n=23
+ at this venue	16-9	64%from 64%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	-2.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	16-9	64%from 64%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	-2.3	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	-2.3	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	8-6	57%from 64%	+0.3	0/14	n=14
+ outdoors	8-6	57%from 57%	+0.3	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 57%	+0.3	0/14	n=14
+ on grass	7-6	54%from 57%	-1.1	0/13	n=13
on the road + at this venue	16-9	64%from 49%	+1.3	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	-2.3	0/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

at home	109-116	48%	+1.2	122/225	n=225
vs LV	25-26	49%	+1.2	26/51	n=51
in a division game	79-78	50%	+0.7	77/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	101-107	49%	+0.5	79/208	n=208
in January	19-21	48%	+0.1	31/40	n=40
outdoors	202-193	51%	+1.0	203/395	n=395
on grass	181-168	52%	+1.5	173/349	n=349
at this venue	105-116	48%	+1.0	118/221	n=221
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

46 lean KC · 243 lean against

Read this first. 311 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs LV + under this head coach	15-11	58%from 49%	+4.5	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 58%	+4.3	10/10	n=10
on grass + under this head coach	94-79	54%from 52%	+2.5	173/173	n=173
+ in the last 5 seasons	36-39	48%from 54%	+0.3	75/75	n=75
in January + in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 48%	-0.7	17/17	n=17
outdoors + under this head coach	106-97	52%from 51%	+1.8	203/203	n=203
+ in the last 5 seasons	34-44	44%from 52%	-0.6	78/78	n=78
in a division game + under this head coach	40-37	52%from 50%	+2.2	77/77	n=77
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-19	37%from 52%	-1.6	30/30	n=30
outdoors + on grass	173-162	52%from 51%	+1.4	162/335	n=335
+ under this head coach	87-75	54%from 52%	+2.4	162/162	n=162
+ in the last 5 seasons	30-37	45%from 54%	-0.6	67/67	n=67
+ at this venue	96-106	48%from 52%	+1.2	99/202	n=202
+ under this head coach	47-52	47%from 48%	+1.1	99/99	n=99
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-26	46%from 48%	+0.6	48/48	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	30-37	45%from 52%	-0.6	67/67	n=67
in a division game + outdoors	74-71	51%from 50%	+0.7	65/145	n=145
+ under this head coach	35-30	54%from 51%	+2.4	65/65	n=65
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-14	30%from 54%	-3.8	20/20	n=20
+ on grass	70-68	51%from 51%	+0.7	60/138	n=138
+ under this head coach	33-27	55%from 51%	+2.7	60/60	n=60
+ at this venue	33-39	46%from 51%	+0.3	33/72	n=72
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-14	30%from 51%	-3.8	20/20	n=20
+ at this venue	35-42	45%from 51%	+0.2	38/77	n=77
+ under this head coach	17-21	45%from 45%	+0.9	38/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-9	40%from 45%	-0.6	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-14	30%from 51%	-3.8	20/20	n=20

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.