LAC at DEN—

ST Model DEN -3.3

Trends · player props · 2026 week 18

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	118-94	56%	+1.1	19/212	n=212
vs DEN	24-24	50%	+0.8	4/48	n=48
in a division game	81-72	53%	-0.1	12/153	n=153
in the Sunday early window	60-46	57%	+1.2	10/106	n=106
in January	15-12	56%	+1.6	4/27	n=27
outdoors	171-168	50%	+0.8	13/339	n=339
on grass	154-149	51%	+0.7	13/303	n=303
at this venue	11-11	50%	+1.3	2/22	n=22
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

76 lean LAC · 48 lean against

Read this first. 175 combinations shown. The best one here is 92%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	11-1	92%from 53%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-1	92%from 92%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
vs DEN + in January	4-1	80%from 50%	+3.7	1/5	n=5
in a division game + in January	8-4	67%from 53%	+4.0	2/12	n=12
+ outdoors	6-2	75%from 67%	+4.9	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 75%	+4.1	1/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-3	67%from 67%	+3.3	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 67%	+1.8	2/6	n=6
in a division game + in the Sunday early window	10-6	63%from 53%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ outdoors	10-6	63%from 63%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ on grass	10-6	63%from 63%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ on grass	10-6	63%from 63%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 53%	-0.2	12/29	n=29
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	22-14	61%from 61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 57%	+0.1	10/22	n=22
on the road + in January	10-7	59%from 56%	+2.0	4/17	n=17
+ on grass	6-3	67%from 59%	+2.9	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 67%	-0.2	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	8-5	62%from 59%	+3.2	2/13	n=13
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 62%	+3.7	1/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 59%	-4.8	4/7	n=7
on the road + in a division game	44-31	59%from 56%	+0.7	6/75	n=75
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 59%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
+ in January	6-2	75%from 59%	+3.8	2/8	n=8
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 75%	+5.0	1/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 75%	+2.9	2/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	10-6	63%from 59%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ outdoors	10-6	63%from 63%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ on grass	10-6	63%from 63%	+1.7	1/16	n=16
+ outdoors	41-28	59%from 59%	+1.2	4/69	n=69
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 59%	+0.1	4/10	n=10
+ on grass	39-28	58%from 59%	+1.0	4/67	n=67
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 59%	+1.3	2/22	n=22
+ on grass	42-31	58%from 59%	+0.6	6/73	n=73
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 58%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 58%	-2.3	6/15	n=15
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 58%	+1.3	2/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 59%	-2.3	6/15	n=15
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 59%	+1.3	2/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-3.1	2/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

DEN — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

at home	104-112	48%	-0.0	28/216	n=216
vs LAC	24-24	50%	-0.8	6/48	n=48
in a division game	73-80	48%	-0.7	18/153	n=153
in the Sunday early window	41-45	48%	-1.9	10/86	n=86
in January	13-15	46%	-3.7	6/28	n=28
outdoors	185-197	48%	-0.5	42/382	n=382
on grass	167-176	49%	-0.1	38/343	n=343
at this venue	100-107	48%	-0.1	28/207	n=207
under this head coach	27-26	51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the last 5 seasons	42-45	48%	+0.2	53/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=427
DEN has covered 3 straight	n=3

DEN — combinations

123 lean DEN · 39 lean against

Read this first. 211 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in January + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 46%	+0.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+0.8	6/6	n=6
at home + under this head coach	17-11	61%from 48%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-11	61%from 61%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
at this venue + under this head coach	17-11	61%from 48%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-11	61%from 61%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
at home + in January	12-8	60%from 48%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 60%	+5.9	4/6	n=6
+ outdoors	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 60%	+5.9	4/6	n=6
+ on grass	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ on grass	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 60%	+5.9	4/6	n=6
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 60%	+5.9	4/6	n=6
in January + at this venue	12-8	60%from 46%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 60%	+5.9	4/6	n=6
in January + in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 46%	+0.7	6/10	n=10
in January + on grass	13-9	59%from 46%	+0.3	5/22	n=22
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 59%	+4.3	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+4.3	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 59%	+4.6	5/8	n=8
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 59%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 60%	+5.9	4/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.