ATL at CAR

ST Model ATL -0.2
Trends · player props · 2026 week 18
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
ATL — the basics
426 graded games since 1999
on the road106-10650%-0.223/212n=212
vs CAR28-2355%+1.35/51n=51
in a division game74-8347%-0.817/157n=157
in the Sunday early window126-15645%-1.629/282n=282
in January10-1836%-1.93/28n=28
outdoors85-8251%+0.013/167n=167
on grass62-6250%+0.313/124n=124
at this venue13-1252%+1.63/25n=25
under this head coach21-2447%-0.945/45n=45
in the last 5 seasons34-4941%-2.834/83n=83
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
ATL — form & streaks
Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per gamen=426
ATL — combinations
80 lean ATL · 100 lean against
Read this first. 202 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
vs CAR + in a division game28-2355%from 55%+1.35/51n=51
+ in the Sunday early window21-1854%from 55%+1.13/39n=39
+ on grass9-1047%from 54%+0.61/19n=19
+ at this venue9-1047%from 54%+0.61/19n=19
+ outdoors9-1145%from 54%+0.11/20n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons2-625%from 54%-6.33/8n=8
+ on grass13-1252%from 55%+1.63/25n=25
+ at this venue13-1252%from 52%+1.63/25n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 52%-6.12/5n=5
+ at this venue13-1252%from 55%+1.63/25n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 52%-6.12/5n=5
+ outdoors13-1350%from 55%+1.33/26n=26
+ on grass13-1252%from 50%+1.63/25n=25
+ at this venue13-1252%from 50%+1.63/25n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons2-433%from 50%-6.52/6n=6
+ under this head coach2-340%from 55%-7.05/5n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons3-730%from 55%-5.14/10n=10
vs CAR + in the Sunday early window21-1854%from 55%+1.13/39n=39
+ on grass9-1047%from 54%+0.61/19n=19
+ at this venue9-1047%from 47%+0.61/19n=19
+ at this venue9-1047%from 54%+0.61/19n=19
+ outdoors9-1145%from 54%+0.11/20n=20
+ on grass9-1047%from 45%+0.61/19n=19
+ at this venue9-1047%from 45%+0.61/19n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons2-625%from 54%-6.33/8n=8
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.