PIT at TEN

ST Model PIT -4.1
Trends · player props · 2026 week 17
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
PIT — the basics
440 graded games since 1999
on the road115-10253%+0.50/217n=217
vs TEN12-763%+2.40/19n=19
in the Sunday early window127-9557%+1.70/222n=222
in January25-1661%+1.10/41n=41
outdoors218-18854%+1.00/406n=406
on grass150-13054%+1.30/280n=280
at this venue5-456%-0.60/9n=9
in the last 5 seasons48-3955%-0.30/87n=87
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
PIT — form & streaks
Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per gamen=440
PIT — combinations
80 lean PIT · 2 lean against
Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
in the Sunday early window + in January11-569%from 57%+5.10/16n=16
+ on grass9-469%from 69%+4.40/13n=13
+ outdoors10-567%from 69%+4.70/15n=15
+ on grass9-469%from 67%+4.40/13n=13
on the road + in January13-668%from 53%+3.70/19n=19
+ on grass10-471%from 68%+3.70/14n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 71%+0.30/5n=5
+ outdoors12-667%from 68%+3.30/18n=18
+ on grass10-471%from 67%+3.70/14n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 67%-0.40/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 68%-0.40/6n=6
vs TEN + on grass10-567%from 63%+3.00/15n=15
+ at this venue5-456%from 67%-0.60/9n=9
vs TEN + in the Sunday early window8-467%from 63%+1.60/12n=12
+ outdoors8-467%from 67%+1.60/12n=12
+ on grass6-367%from 67%+1.70/9n=9
+ at this venue4-267%from 67%+0.90/6n=6
+ on grass6-367%from 67%+1.70/9n=9
+ at this venue4-267%from 67%+0.90/6n=6
+ at this venue4-267%from 67%+0.90/6n=6
in the Sunday early window + at this venue4-267%from 57%+0.90/6n=6
in January + in the last 5 seasons7-464%from 61%+0.70/11n=11
in January + on grass19-1163%from 61%+1.10/30n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons7-370%from 63%+1.20/10n=10
vs TEN + outdoors12-763%from 63%+2.40/19n=19
+ on grass10-567%from 63%+3.00/15n=15
+ at this venue5-456%from 67%-0.60/9n=9
+ at this venue5-456%from 63%-0.60/9n=9
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.