NO at ATL—

ST Model ATL -6.3

Trends · player props · 2026 week 17

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-94	56%	+1.7	9/216	n=216
vs ATL	30-22	58%	+1.1	2/52	n=52
in a division game	88-74	54%	+1.4	6/162	n=162
in the Sunday early window	134-124	52%	+0.6	12/258	n=258
in January	17-16	52%	+0.1	1/33	n=33
on turf	147-154	49%	+0.3	12/301	n=301
at this venue	6-3	67%	+0.3	1/9	n=9
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

98 lean NO · 9 lean against

Read this first. 128 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 4.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ATL + in January	5-0	100%from 58%	+9.2	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	5-0	100%from 100%	+9.2	1/5	n=5
in January + in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 52%	+7.4	1/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 52%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
on the road + at this venue	6-3	67%from 56%	+0.3	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.5	1/5	n=5
on the road + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 56%	0.0	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	0.0	9/9	n=9
vs ATL + at this venue	6-3	67%from 58%	+0.3	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.5	1/5	n=5
in a division game + at this venue	6-3	67%from 54%	+0.3	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.5	1/5	n=5
on turf + at this venue	6-3	67%from 49%	+0.3	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.5	1/5	n=5
in a division game + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 54%	+0.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+0.7	6/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	4-2	67%from 52%	-0.5	1/6	n=6
on the road + in a division game	52-27	66%from 56%	+4.7	3/79	n=79
+ in January	7-2	78%from 66%	+5.7	1/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	36-18	67%from 66%	+4.8	3/54	n=54
+ on turf	12-6	67%from 67%	+4.2	1/18	n=18
+ in January	4-2	67%from 67%	+4.0	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	-0.5	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 67%	-0.6	3/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 66%	+0.3	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.5	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	18-10	64%from 66%	+3.3	1/28	n=28
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 64%	+0.3	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	-1.5	1/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 66%	+1.5	3/14	n=14

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

at home	94-120	44%	-1.0	22/214	n=214
vs NO	22-30	42%	-1.1	6/52	n=52
in a division game	74-83	47%	-0.8	17/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in January	10-18	36%	-1.9	3/28	n=28
on turf	138-164	46%	-1.0	32/302	n=302
at this venue	28-44	39%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

0 lean ATL · 163 lean against

Read this first. 179 combinations shown. The best one here is 50%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs NO + in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 42%	0.0	4/10	n=10
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	14-16	47%from 47%	-1.3	12/30	n=30
in a division game + in the Sunday early window	52-61	46%from 47%	-1.2	12/113	n=113
+ on turf	36-44	45%from 46%	-1.2	9/80	n=80
+ at this venue	9-13	41%from 45%	-0.9	7/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 45%	-1.9	6/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	1-8	11%from 45%	-4.9	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-13	43%from 46%	-2.1	8/23	n=23
+ at this venue	9-13	41%from 46%	-0.9	7/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-9	31%from 41%	-0.7	5/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	1-6	14%from 41%	-3.7	7/7	n=7
+ in January	3-6	33%from 46%	-7.8	3/9	n=9
+ on turf	2-5	29%from 33%	-9.7	2/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	2-10	17%from 46%	-7.1	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-7	13%from 17%	-8.0	8/8	n=8
in a division game + on turf	49-59	45%from 47%	-1.1	11/108	n=108
+ at this venue	12-15	44%from 45%	-0.6	8/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-10	33%from 44%	-0.8	6/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	2-6	25%from 44%	-2.8	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 45%	-0.9	8/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	3-8	27%from 45%	-2.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 27%	-1.6	8/8	n=8
at home + in a division game	36-44	45%from 44%	-1.5	8/80	n=80
+ on turf	36-44	45%from 45%	-1.5	8/80	n=80
+ at this venue	12-15	44%from 45%	-0.6	8/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-10	33%from 45%	-0.8	6/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	2-6	25%from 45%	-2.8	8/8	n=8
+ at this venue	12-15	44%from 45%	-0.6	8/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-10	33%from 44%	-0.8	6/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	2-6	25%from 44%	-2.8	8/8	n=8
+ in the Sunday early window	26-34	43%from 45%	-2.1	7/60	n=60
+ on turf	26-34	43%from 43%	-2.1	7/60	n=60
+ at this venue	9-13	41%from 43%	-0.9	7/22	n=22
+ in January	2-4	33%from 43%	-6.8	2/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-9	31%from 43%	-0.7	5/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	1-6	14%from 43%	-3.7	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-10	33%from 45%	-0.8	6/15	n=15
+ in January	3-6	33%from 45%	-4.1	2/9	n=9
+ on turf	3-6	33%from 33%	-4.1	2/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	2-6	25%from 45%	-2.8	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-5	17%from 25%	-3.7	6/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.