MIN at NYJ—
ST Model MIN -6.1
Since first recorded MIN -3.5o/u 39.5unchanged · 6d ago · 1 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 17
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
MIN — the basics
424 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 104-108 | 49% | -1.3 | 30/212 | n=212 |
| vs NYJ | 4-3 | 57% | -1.1 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| in the Sunday early window | 144-123 | 54% | +1.0 | 39/267 | n=267 |
| in January | 13-18 | 42% | -1.3 | 7/31 | n=31 |
| outdoors | 86-89 | 49% | -1.8 | 23/175 | n=175 |
| on turf | 156-142 | 52% | +0.8 | 48/298 | n=298 |
| at this venue | 4-2 | 67% | +5.6 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| under this head coach | 34-31 | 52% | +0.3 | 65/65 | n=65 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-39 | 52% | +0.2 | 65/82 | n=82 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
MIN — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 424 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=424 |
| MIN has covered 5 straight | n=5 |
MIN — combinations
50 lean MIN · 20 lean against
Read this first. 85 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| outdoors + under this head coach | 16-7 | 70%from 49% | +0.8 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-7 | 70%from 70% | +0.8 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| on the road + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 49% | +5.6 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| vs NYJ + in the Sunday early window | 4-2 | 67%from 57% | -0.5 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| outdoors + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 49% | +5.6 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| on turf + at this venue | 4-2 | 67%from 52% | +5.6 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 19-10 | 66%from 49% | +0.1 | 23/29 | n=29 |
| vs NYJ + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | +1.3 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| vs NYJ + on turf | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | -0.3 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + under this head coach | 23-16 | 59%from 54% | +4.2 | 39/39 | n=39 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 23-16 | 59%from 59% | +4.2 | 39/39 | n=39 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 17-13 | 57%from 49% | -1.6 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-13 | 57%from 57% | -1.6 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 22-17 | 56%from 49% | -1.6 | 30/39 | n=39 |
| in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons | 27-21 | 56%from 54% | +3.2 | 39/48 | n=48 |
| in January + on turf | 10-8 | 56%from 42% | +4.6 | 4/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 56% | -4.8 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + on turf | 110-90 | 55%from 54% | +1.9 | 27/200 | n=200 |
| + under this head coach | 14-13 | 52%from 55% | +5.0 | 27/27 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-13 | 52%from 52% | +5.0 | 27/27 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-18 | 47%from 55% | +3.4 | 27/34 | n=34 |
| in the Sunday early window + outdoors | 53-45 | 54%from 54% | -1.0 | 17/98 | n=98 |
| + under this head coach | 13-4 | 76%from 54% | +3.8 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-4 | 76%from 76% | +3.8 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-5 | 75%from 54% | +3.4 | 17/20 | n=20 |
| + on turf | 21-12 | 64%from 54% | +1.5 | 5/33 | n=33 |
| + under this head coach | 4-1 | 80%from 64% | +7.3 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 64% | +5.1 | 5/6 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.