LAR at TB—

ST Model LAR -4.4

Since first recorded LAR -4.5o/u 48.5unchanged · 6d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 17

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LAR — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

on the road	104-117	47%	-1.6	83/221	n=221
vs TB	11-5	69%	+1.0	5/16	n=16
in the Sunday early window	86-94	48%	-0.8	32/180	n=180
in January	19-16	54%	-0.3	22/35	n=35
outdoors	87-107	45%	-2.4	82/194	n=194
on grass	75-83	47%	-1.8	72/158	n=158
at this venue	6-3	67%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
under this head coach	89-72	55%	+1.1	161/161	n=161
in the last 5 seasons	51-42	55%	+0.7	93/93	n=93

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=434
LAR has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAR — combinations

55 lean LAR · 26 lean against

Read this first. 106 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 69% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs TB + under this head coach	4-1	80%from 69%	+3.9	5/5	n=5
on the road + vs TB	6-3	67%from 47%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ outdoors	6-3	67%from 67%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ on grass	6-3	67%from 67%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 67%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ on grass	6-3	67%from 67%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 67%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 67%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
on the road + at this venue	6-3	67%from 47%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
vs TB + at this venue	6-3	67%from 69%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
outdoors + at this venue	6-3	67%from 45%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
on grass + at this venue	6-3	67%from 47%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	20-13	61%from 45%	+1.5	33/33	n=33
vs TB + outdoors	6-4	60%from 69%	-1.2	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 60%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 60%	-1.2	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 60%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
vs TB + on grass	6-4	60%from 69%	-1.2	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 60%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
in January + under this head coach	13-9	59%from 54%	+1.3	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 59%	+1.7	16/16	n=16
on the road + under this head coach	47-36	57%from 47%	+1.9	83/83	n=83
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-22	54%from 57%	+0.4	48/48	n=48
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	18-14	56%from 48%	+3.5	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 56%	+0.6	19/19	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

at home	94-118	44%	-0.6	36/212	n=212
vs LAR	5-11	31%	-1.0	1/16	n=16
in the Sunday early window	134-125	52%	+0.8	38/259	n=259
in January	13-18	42%	+0.9	9/31	n=31
outdoors	151-184	45%	-0.5	52/335	n=335
on grass	140-168	45%	-0.5	46/308	n=308
at this venue	92-115	44%	-0.6	35/207	n=207
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

13 lean TB · 141 lean against

Read this first. 168 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday early window + in January	7-6	54%from 52%	+1.1	4/13	n=13
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 54%	+1.6	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 60%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 54%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ outdoors	6-5	55%from 54%	+0.5	3/11	n=11
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 55%	+1.6	3/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 55%	-0.4	3/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 55%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 54%	-1.5	4/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	24-21	53%from 52%	+0.8	38/45	n=45
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	19-19	50%from 52%	+0.6	38/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-19	50%from 50%	+0.6	38/38	n=38
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	62-63	50%from 52%	+0.3	18/125	n=125
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 50%	+0.8	18/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	7-11	39%from 50%	-0.6	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-11	39%from 39%	-0.6	18/18	n=18
in the Sunday early window + on grass	91-95	49%from 52%	0.0	24/186	n=186
+ at this venue	61-63	49%from 49%	+0.3	17/124	n=124
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-11	42%from 49%	+0.4	17/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	6-11	35%from 49%	-1.0	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-17	39%from 49%	-1.5	24/28	n=28
+ under this head coach	8-16	33%from 49%	-2.6	24/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-16	33%from 33%	-2.6	24/24	n=24
at home + in the Sunday early window	63-66	49%from 44%	+0.1	19/129	n=129
+ in January	5-4	56%from 49%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ outdoors	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ on grass	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ at this venue	62-63	50%from 49%	+0.3	18/125	n=125
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 50%	+0.8	18/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	7-11	39%from 50%	-0.6	18/18	n=18
+ outdoors	63-66	49%from 49%	+0.1	19/129	n=129
+ at this venue	62-63	50%from 49%	+0.3	18/125	n=125
+ on grass	61-66	48%from 49%	+0.1	17/127	n=127
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 49%	+0.9	19/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	8-11	42%from 49%	-0.4	19/19	n=19
+ on grass	61-66	48%from 49%	+0.1	17/127	n=127
+ at this venue	61-63	49%from 48%	+0.3	17/124	n=124
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-11	42%from 48%	+0.4	17/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	6-11	35%from 48%	-1.0	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 49%	+0.9	19/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	8-11	42%from 49%	-0.4	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-11	42%from 42%	-0.4	19/19	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.