KC at LAC—

ST Model KC -0.5

Trends · player props · 2026 week 17

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-101	53%	+0.5	112/216	n=216
vs LAC	25-26	49%	+1.3	25/51	n=51
in a division game	79-78	50%	+0.7	77/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	101-107	49%	+0.5	79/208	n=208
in January	19-21	48%	+0.1	31/40	n=40
indoors	22-24	48%	-0.3	31/46	n=46
on turf	43-49	47%	-1.5	61/92	n=92
at this venue	2-4	33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

23 lean KC · 163 lean against

Read this first. 213 combinations shown. The best one here is 69%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
indoors + in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 48%	+1.3	18/18	n=18
on the road + under this head coach	62-50	55%from 53%	+2.3	112/112	n=112
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-25	44%from 55%	-1.3	45/45	n=45
on the road + in a division game	44-36	55%from 53%	+1.3	39/80	n=80
+ in January	6-4	60%from 55%	-0.1	6/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-3	50%from 60%	-3.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 60%	-5.4	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	23-16	59%from 55%	+3.5	39/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-10	33%from 59%	-2.6	15/15	n=15
+ on turf	4-4	50%from 55%	-1.1	6/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 50%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 50%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ indoors	5-7	42%from 55%	+1.5	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 42%	+2.6	10/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	5-7	42%from 42%	+1.5	12/12	n=12
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 42%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 42%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-10	33%from 55%	-2.6	15/15	n=15
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 55%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 33%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
on the road + vs LAC	14-12	54%from 53%	+2.1	13/26	n=26
+ under this head coach	9-4	69%from 54%	+5.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 69%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ in a division game	14-12	54%from 54%	+2.1	13/26	n=26
+ under this head coach	9-4	69%from 54%	+5.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 54%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ indoors	2-4	33%from 54%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 54%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 54%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 54%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ indoors	2-4	33%from 54%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 33%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 54%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 33%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 54%	-1.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 33%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 33%	-1.7	6/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

at home	100-111	47%	-0.1	17/211	n=211
vs KC	26-25	51%	-1.3	4/51	n=51
in a division game	81-72	53%	-0.1	12/153	n=153
in the Sunday early window	60-46	57%	+1.2	10/106	n=106
in January	15-12	56%	+1.6	4/27	n=27
indoors	47-37	56%	-0.9	23/84	n=84
on turf	64-56	53%	-0.1	23/120	n=120
at this venue	26-23	53%	-1.6	17/49	n=49
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

143 lean LAC · 5 lean against

Read this first. 163 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 14.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	11-1	92%from 53%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-1	92%from 92%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
in a division game + on turf	14-5	74%from 53%	+2.3	6/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 74%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 100%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 74%	+2.1	6/14	n=14
+ at this venue	12-5	71%from 74%	+1.9	6/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 71%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+2.1	6/14	n=14
vs KC + on turf	5-2	71%from 51%	+2.9	2/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 71%	+1.7	2/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.9	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 71%	+0.9	2/5	n=5
at home + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 47%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
in a division game + at this venue	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.9	6/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 71%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 100%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+2.1	6/14	n=14
in the Sunday early window + indoors	12-5	71%from 57%	+1.4	2/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 71%	+1.1	2/5	n=5
+ on turf	11-5	69%from 71%	+0.8	2/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 69%	+1.1	2/5	n=5
at this venue + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.