How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
IND — the basics
437 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 119-98 | 55% | -0.1 | 25/217 | n=217 |
| vs CLE | 5-4 | 56% | -1.3 | 1/9 | n=9 |
| in the Sunday early window | 131-133 | 50% | +0.4 | 40/264 | n=264 |
| in January | 16-24 | 40% | -2.5 | 3/40 | n=40 |
| outdoors | 109-100 | 52% | -0.4 | 22/209 | n=209 |
| on grass | 78-69 | 53% | -0.8 | 14/147 | n=147 |
| under this head coach | 27-24 | 53% | +0.2 | 51/51 | n=51 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-42 | 51% | -0.5 | 51/85 | n=85 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
IND — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game | n=437 |
IND — combinations
39 lean IND · 21 lean against
Read this first. 74 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs CLE + outdoors | 4-2 | 67%from 56% | -0.1 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| vs CLE + in the Sunday early window | 5-3 | 63%from 56% | -0.5 | 1/8 | n=8 |
| + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 63% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 13-9 | 59%from 52% | -0.9 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-9 | 59%from 59% | -0.9 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| on grass + in the last 5 seasons | 14-10 | 58%from 53% | -1.2 | 14/24 | n=24 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 8-6 | 57%from 53% | -1.2 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-6 | 57%from 57% | -1.2 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 14-11 | 56%from 55% | -1.2 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-11 | 56%from 56% | -1.2 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 21-17 | 55%from 52% | -1.2 | 22/38 | n=38 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 23-19 | 55%from 55% | -1.4 | 25/42 | n=42 |
| on the road + on grass | 78-67 | 54%from 55% | -0.7 | 13/145 | n=145 |
| + under this head coach | 8-5 | 62%from 54% | -1.3 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-5 | 62%from 62% | -1.3 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 54% | -1.3 | 13/23 | n=23 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 27-24 | 53%from 53% | +0.2 | 51/51 | n=51 |
| on the road + outdoors | 92-82 | 53%from 55% | -0.6 | 19/174 | n=174 |
| + under this head coach | 11-8 | 58%from 53% | -1.5 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-8 | 58%from 58% | -1.5 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-14 | 53%from 53% | -2.2 | 19/30 | n=30 |
| + on grass | 69-61 | 53%from 53% | -0.8 | 13/130 | n=130 |
| + under this head coach | 8-5 | 62%from 53% | -1.3 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-9 | 57%from 53% | -2.3 | 13/21 | n=21 |
| outdoors + on grass | 69-62 | 53%from 52% | -1.0 | 13/131 | n=131 |
| + under this head coach | 8-5 | 62%from 53% | -1.3 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-5 | 62%from 62% | -1.3 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-9 | 57%from 53% | -2.3 | 13/21 | n=21 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.