HOU at GB—

ST Model GB -0.1

Trends · player props · 2026 week 17

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs GB	2-3	40%	-4.9	1/5	n=5
off a bye	20-20	50%	-0.6	6/40	n=40
on Monday night	7-12	37%	-0.4	4/19	n=19
in January	16-14	53%	+1.0	9/30	n=30
outdoors	101-99	51%	+1.0	24/200	n=200
on grass	116-117	50%	+0.6	14/233	n=233
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

37 lean HOU · 21 lean against

Read this first. 77 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in January + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 53%	+7.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	+7.5	9/9	n=9
off a bye + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 50%	+2.6	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+2.6	6/6	n=6
in January + in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 53%	+4.0	9/13	n=13
in January + on grass	8-6	57%from 53%	+1.8	4/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 57%	+3.4	4/5	n=5
on grass + under this head coach	8-6	57%from 50%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 50%	+5.1	14/25	n=25
outdoors + on grass	80-69	54%from 51%	+2.4	14/149	n=149
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 54%	+6.2	14/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 54%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
on the road + on grass	60-55	52%from 48%	+2.2	14/115	n=115
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 52%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 52%	+5.1	14/25	n=25
off a bye + outdoors	13-12	52%from 50%	+0.1	3/25	n=25
+ on grass	9-8	53%from 52%	+0.9	2/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 52%	-0.4	3/6	n=6
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	29-27	52%from 52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
on the road + under this head coach	15-14	52%from 48%	+1.7	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-14	52%from 52%	+1.7	29/29	n=29
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	23-22	51%from 48%	+1.6	29/45	n=45

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

GB — the basics

442 graded games since 1999

at home	124-96	56%	+1.9	62/220	n=220
vs HOU	3-2	60%	+4.9	2/5	n=5
off a bye	34-23	60%	+2.2	20/57	n=57
on Monday night	21-18	54%	+1.7	9/39	n=39
in January	26-21	55%	+1.2	17/47	n=47
outdoors	199-160	55%	+1.2	103/359	n=359
on grass	187-146	56%	+1.5	95/333	n=333
at this venue	123-95	56%	+2.0	61/218	n=218
under this head coach	67-58	54%	+0.9	125/125	n=125
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+0.7	89/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

GB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 442 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=442
GB has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

GB — combinations

131 lean GB · 26 lean against

Read this first. 196 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + off a bye	18-9	67%from 56%	+4.2	10/27	n=27
+ on Monday night	4-1	80%from 67%	+8.1	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+8.1	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+8.1	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+8.1	1/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 67%	+0.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 70%	+1.3	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	18-9	67%from 67%	+4.2	10/27	n=27
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 67%	+0.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.3	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 67%	+4.3	10/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.3	6/6	n=6
+ outdoors	17-9	65%from 67%	+4.3	10/26	n=26
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 65%	+0.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 65%	+1.3	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	17-9	65%from 65%	+4.3	10/26	n=26
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 65%	+4.3	10/26	n=26
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 67%	+4.3	10/26	n=26
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 65%	+0.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 65%	+1.3	6/6	n=6
+ in January	3-3	50%from 67%	-2.3	3/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 50%	-2.3	3/6	n=6
+ on grass	3-3	50%from 50%	-2.3	3/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	-2.3	3/6	n=6
off a bye + on Monday night	6-3	67%from 60%	+5.1	2/9	n=9
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 67%	+8.1	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	6-2	75%from 67%	+6.1	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-1	86%from 75%	+7.6	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 75%	+8.1	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 67%	+6.3	2/8	n=8
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 75%	+8.1	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.