BUF at MIA—

ST Model BUF -3.9

Since first recorded BUF -7.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 6d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 17

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BUF — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-101	52%	+0.1	77/209	n=209
vs MIA	27-25	52%	+2.2	18/52	n=52
in a division game	75-84	47%	-0.3	54/159	n=159
in the Sunday early window	148-139	52%	+0.3	88/287	n=287
in January	14-16	47%	-1.1	22/30	n=30
outdoors	196-182	52%	+0.6	138/378	n=378
on grass	62-60	51%	-0.9	41/122	n=122
at this venue	13-13	50%	+0.4	9/26	n=26
under this head coach	85-73	54%	+2.3	158/158	n=158
in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%	+2.8	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BUF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423

BUF — combinations

135 lean BUF · 61 lean against

Read this first. 292 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+5.6	5/5	n=5
vs MIA + in the Sunday early window	22-17	56%from 52%	+3.7	13/39	n=39
+ outdoors	22-17	56%from 56%	+3.7	13/39	n=39
+ on grass	9-9	50%from 56%	+0.8	6/18	n=18
+ at this venue	9-9	50%from 56%	+0.8	6/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	6-7	46%from 56%	+5.3	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 56%	+1.8	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	9-9	50%from 56%	+0.8	6/18	n=18
+ at this venue	9-9	50%from 50%	+0.8	6/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 50%	+1.2	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	9-9	50%from 56%	+0.8	6/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 50%	+1.2	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	6-7	46%from 56%	+5.3	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 46%	+1.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 56%	+1.8	6/6	n=6
in January + in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 47%	+1.4	16/16	n=16
on grass + under this head coach	23-18	56%from 51%	+2.0	41/41	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 56%	+3.5	22/22	n=22
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	49-39	56%from 52%	+2.3	88/88	n=88
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-19	53%from 56%	+2.7	40/40	n=40
at this venue + under this head coach	5-4	56%from 50%	+4.3	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	+5.6	5/5	n=5
on the road + under this head coach	42-35	55%from 52%	+2.3	77/77	n=77
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 55%	+2.4	44/44	n=44
in January + under this head coach	12-10	55%from 47%	+2.4	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 55%	+1.4	16/16	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	103-106	49%	-0.1	0/209	n=209
vs BUF	25-27	48%	-2.2	0/52	n=52
in a division game	78-79	50%	-0.7	0/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	134-137	49%	-0.2	0/271	n=271
in January	9-13	41%	-5.9	0/22	n=22
outdoors	188-191	50%	-0.3	0/379	n=379
on grass	148-156	49%	-0.1	0/304	n=304
at this venue	102-104	50%	-0.0	0/206	n=206
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

89 lean MIA · 49 lean against

Read this first. 205 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	20-10	67%from 50%	+0.9	0/30	n=30
vs BUF + in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 48%	-3.3	0/10	n=10
in a division game + in January	8-6	57%from 50%	-2.0	0/14	n=14
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 57%	+5.6	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 75%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 57%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	8-6	57%from 57%	-2.0	0/14	n=14
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 57%	+5.6	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 57%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.1	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.1	0/7	n=7
at home + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 49%	+1.7	0/43	n=43
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 50%	+1.7	0/43	n=43
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	29-26	53%from 49%	+0.1	0/55	n=55
in a division game + at this venue	41-37	53%from 50%	+0.2	0/78	n=78
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 53%	+2.1	0/15	n=15
at home + in a division game	41-38	52%from 49%	+0.1	0/79	n=79
+ in January	5-2	71%from 52%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 52%	+2.1	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	41-37	53%from 52%	+0.2	0/78	n=78
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 53%	+2.1	0/15	n=15
+ outdoors	41-38	52%from 52%	+0.1	0/79	n=79
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 52%	+2.1	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	41-37	53%from 52%	+0.2	0/78	n=78
+ on grass	41-38	52%from 52%	+0.1	0/79	n=79
+ on grass	41-38	52%from 52%	+0.1	0/79	n=79
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 52%	+2.1	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	41-37	53%from 52%	+0.2	0/78	n=78
+ in the Sunday early window	29-27	52%from 52%	-0.4	0/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 52%	+3.7	0/11	n=11
+ at this venue	29-26	53%from 52%	-0.2	0/55	n=55
+ outdoors	29-27	52%from 52%	-0.4	0/56	n=56
+ on grass	29-27	52%from 52%	-0.4	0/56	n=56

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.