BAL at CIN—

ST Model BAL -0.2

Trends · player props · 2026 week 17

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-102	54%	+1.7	0/224	n=224
vs CIN	24-27	47%	+0.2	0/51	n=51
in a division game	82-81	50%	+1.2	0/163	n=163
on a short week	9-8	53%	+3.6	0/17	n=17
on Thursday night	8-10	44%	+1.1	0/18	n=18
in December	62-48	56%	+2.9	0/110	n=110
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on turf	97-89	52%	+2.6	0/186	n=186
at this venue	13-13	50%	+1.6	0/26	n=26
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

53 lean BAL · 94 lean against

Read this first. 187 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 50%	+3.3	0/5	n=5
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	15-5	75%from 52%	+3.9	0/20	n=20
on the road + in December	32-17	65%from 54%	+3.5	0/49	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 65%	+7.4	0/11	n=11
+ outdoors	29-15	66%from 65%	+3.6	0/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 66%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	6-6	50%from 66%	+3.3	0/12	n=12
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 66%	-0.1	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	8-7	53%from 65%	+4.5	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 65%	-0.1	0/5	n=5
in December + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 56%	+5.0	0/20	n=20
on a short week + in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 53%	+0.6	0/7	n=7
in December + outdoors	59-46	56%from 56%	+2.9	0/105	n=105
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 56%	+4.0	0/19	n=19
+ on turf	20-23	47%from 56%	+1.9	0/43	n=43
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	-0.1	0/5	n=5
on the road + in a division game	46-36	56%from 54%	+1.5	0/82	n=82
+ in December	15-6	71%from 56%	+4.4	0/21	n=21
+ outdoors	15-6	71%from 71%	+4.4	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 71%	+0.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 71%	-0.1	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 71%	+3.0	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	46-36	56%from 56%	+1.5	0/82	n=82
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 56%	+1.6	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 56%	-0.3	0/15	n=15
+ on turf	13-15	46%from 56%	+0.3	0/28	n=28
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 56%	+1.6	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 50%	+3.3	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 56%	-0.3	0/15	n=15
+ on turf	13-15	46%from 56%	+0.3	0/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 46%	+3.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	9-11	45%from 46%	+0.3	0/20	n=20

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CIN — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	99-108	48%	-1.0	58/207	n=207
vs BAL	27-24	53%	-0.2	14/51	n=51
in a division game	75-87	46%	-1.4	42/162	n=162
on a short week	10-7	59%	+1.4	7/17	n=17
on Thursday night	10-7	59%	+1.4	7/17	n=17
in December	65-46	59%	+0.9	30/111	n=111
outdoors	197-187	51%	-0.4	109/384	n=384
on turf	118-117	50%	-0.8	58/235	n=235
at this venue	98-107	48%	-1.0	57/205	n=205
under this head coach	67-53	56%	+0.1	120/120	n=120
in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%	+0.7	88/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=419

CIN — combinations

220 lean CIN · 88 lean against

Read this first. 341 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs BAL + on a short week	4-1	80%from 53%	+6.6	3/5	n=5
+ on Thursday night	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.6	3/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.6	3/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.6	3/5	n=5
vs BAL + on Thursday night	4-1	80%from 53%	+6.6	3/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+6.6	3/5	n=5
in December + in the last 5 seasons	15-6	71%from 59%	+2.3	21/21	n=21
on a short week + under this head coach	5-2	71%from 59%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
on Thursday night + under this head coach	5-2	71%from 59%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
in a division game + on a short week	7-3	70%from 46%	+1.6	5/10	n=10
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 70%	+0.2	1/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 70%	+5.7	5/5	n=5
+ on Thursday night	7-3	70%from 70%	+1.6	5/10	n=10
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 70%	+0.2	1/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 70%	+5.7	5/5	n=5
+ outdoors	7-3	70%from 70%	+1.6	5/10	n=10
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 70%	-0.8	1/6	n=6
+ outdoors	7-3	70%from 70%	+1.6	5/10	n=10
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 70%	+0.2	1/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 70%	+5.7	5/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 70%	-0.8	1/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 70%	-0.8	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 67%	+0.2	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.