TEN at LV—

ST Model LV -3.8

Trends · player props · 2026 week 16

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

TEN — the basics

421 graded games since 1999

on the road	98-117	46%	-1.0	0/215	n=215
vs LV	6-9	40%	-1.0	0/15	n=15
in the Sunday late window	24-31	44%	-1.3	0/55	n=55
in December	46-63	42%	-1.6	0/109	n=109
indoors	26-31	46%	-1.3	0/57	n=57
on grass	154-180	46%	-0.5	0/334	n=334
in the last 5 seasons	35-47	43%	-1.8	0/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 421 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=421
TEN has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

TEN — combinations

2 lean TEN · 36 lean against

Read this first. 48 combinations shown. The best one here is 55%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
indoors + on grass	6-5	55%from 46%	+0.1	0/11	n=11
in the Sunday late window + indoors	6-6	50%from 44%	0.0	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	2-3	40%from 50%	+0.3	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-0.5	0/5	n=5
on the road + on grass	63-67	48%from 46%	+0.4	0/130	n=130
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 48%	-1.5	0/22	n=22
in the Sunday late window + in December	6-7	46%from 44%	+2.6	0/13	n=13
+ on grass	6-7	46%from 46%	+2.6	0/13	n=13
on the road + indoors	26-31	46%from 46%	-1.3	0/57	n=57
+ on grass	6-5	55%from 46%	+0.1	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-8	38%from 46%	-3.2	0/13	n=13
in December + on grass	41-49	46%from 42%	-0.7	0/90	n=90
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-12	29%from 46%	-2.4	0/17	n=17
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 44%	+0.1	0/9	n=9
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	27-34	44%from 46%	-0.9	0/61	n=61
on the road + vs LV	3-4	43%from 46%	-1.1	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	3-4	43%from 43%	-1.1	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday late window	2-3	40%from 43%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	2-3	40%from 40%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
in the Sunday late window + on grass	18-25	42%from 44%	-0.7	0/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 42%	-0.9	0/5	n=5
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	17-24	41%from 46%	-3.0	0/41	n=41
on the road + in December	20-30	40%from 46%	-3.3	0/50	n=50
+ on grass	15-16	48%from 40%	-1.6	0/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 48%	-4.1	0/7	n=7
+ indoors	4-11	27%from 40%	-7.0	0/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 40%	-5.7	0/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LV — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	95-116	45%	-1.6	0/211	n=211
vs TEN	9-6	60%	+1.0	0/15	n=15
in the Sunday late window	102-118	46%	-1.1	0/220	n=220
in December	44-65	40%	-1.9	0/109	n=109
indoors	48-43	53%	-2.2	0/91	n=91
on grass	167-179	48%	-0.9	0/346	n=346
at this venue	27-23	54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
in the last 5 seasons	41-43	49%	-1.7	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LV — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -7.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=419

LV — combinations

87 lean LV · 11 lean against

Read this first. 106 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + at this venue	8-4	67%from 40%	+1.2	0/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 67%	+3.8	0/9	n=9
in December + indoors	11-6	65%from 40%	+0.9	0/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-3	77%from 65%	+4.0	0/13	n=13
+ on grass	8-4	67%from 65%	+1.2	0/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 67%	+3.8	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	8-4	67%from 67%	+1.2	0/12	n=12
+ at this venue	8-4	67%from 65%	+1.2	0/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 67%	+3.8	0/9	n=9
vs TEN + on grass	9-6	60%from 60%	+1.0	0/15	n=15
vs TEN + in the Sunday late window	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.8	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.8	0/5	n=5
in December + in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 40%	+0.7	0/19	n=19
indoors + on grass	32-24	57%from 53%	-0.4	0/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 57%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 57%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
at home + vs TEN	4-3	57%from 45%	+1.1	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday late window	3-2	60%from 57%	+1.8	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.8	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-3	57%from 57%	+1.1	0/7	n=7
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	23-18	56%from 46%	-0.5	0/41	n=41
at home + in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 45%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
at home + indoors	27-23	54%from 45%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ on grass	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.