How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
TB — the basics
425 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 106-107 | 50% | +0.6 | 35/213 | n=213 |
| vs ATL | 26-21 | 55% | +2.2 | 8/47 | n=47 |
| in a division game | 74-85 | 47% | -0.2 | 24/159 | n=159 |
| in the Sunday early window | 134-125 | 52% | +0.8 | 38/259 | n=259 |
| in December | 48-62 | 44% | -1.4 | 18/110 | n=110 |
| on turf | 60-57 | 51% | +1.4 | 25/117 | n=117 |
| at this venue | 4-5 | 44% | +0.8 | 4/9 | n=9 |
| under this head coach | 31-40 | 44% | +0.0 | 71/71 | n=71 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 41-49 | 46% | +0.1 | 71/90 | n=90 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
TB — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=425 |
| TB has failed to cover 9 straight | n=9 |
TB — combinations
96 lean TB · 45 lean against
Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on turf + under this head coach | 17-8 | 68%from 51% | +4.5 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +4.5 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| vs ATL + in December | 10-6 | 63%from 55% | +3.7 | 2/16 | n=16 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 63% | +3.2 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on turf + in the last 5 seasons | 19-12 | 61%from 51% | +2.6 | 25/31 | n=31 |
| vs ATL + in the Sunday early window | 22-14 | 61%from 55% | +4.4 | 6/36 | n=36 |
| + in December | 9-3 | 75%from 61% | +6.0 | 1/12 | n=12 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 75% | +3.2 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 15-7 | 68%from 61% | +4.9 | 3/22 | n=22 |
| + at this venue | 4-4 | 50%from 68% | +1.4 | 3/8 | n=8 |
| + at this venue | 4-4 | 50%from 61% | +1.4 | 3/8 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 61% | -1.7 | 6/7 | n=7 |
| + under this head coach | 2-4 | 33%from 61% | -2.3 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-4 | 33%from 33% | -2.3 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| on the road + vs ATL | 15-10 | 60%from 50% | +2.3 | 4/25 | n=25 |
| + in December | 4-1 | 80%from 60% | +3.2 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +3.2 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 15-7 | 68%from 60% | +4.9 | 3/22 | n=22 |
| + in December | 4-1 | 80%from 68% | +3.2 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 15-7 | 68%from 68% | +4.9 | 3/22 | n=22 |
| + at this venue | 4-4 | 50%from 68% | +1.4 | 3/8 | n=8 |
| + on turf | 15-10 | 60%from 60% | +2.3 | 4/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -0.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-5 | 44%from 60% | +0.8 | 4/9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -0.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + in a division game | 14-10 | 58%from 60% | +2.1 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + in December | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +3.2 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 14-7 | 67%from 58% | +4.8 | 3/21 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 58% | -0.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 14-10 | 58%from 58% | +2.1 | 4/24 | n=24 |
| + at this venue | 4-5 | 44%from 58% | +0.8 | 4/9 | n=9 |
| + at this venue | 4-5 | 44%from 60% | +0.8 | 4/9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 44% | -0.3 | 4/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.