LAR at SEA—
ST Model SEA -1.9
Since first recorded LAR -1.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 6d ago · 3 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 16
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
LAR — the basics
434 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 104-117 | 47% | -1.6 | 83/221 | n=221 |
| vs SEA | 28-24 | 54% | +1.0 | 20/52 | n=52 |
| in a division game | 80-83 | 49% | -1.1 | 57/163 | n=163 |
| on Friday/Saturday | 4-10 | 29% | -6.4 | 7/14 | n=14 |
| in December | 59-55 | 52% | -0.6 | 40/114 | n=114 |
| outdoors | 87-107 | 45% | -2.4 | 82/194 | n=194 |
| on turf | 131-145 | 47% | -0.9 | 89/276 | n=276 |
| at this venue | 14-13 | 52% | 0.0 | 11/27 | n=27 |
| under this head coach | 89-72 | 55% | +1.1 | 161/161 | n=161 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 51-42 | 55% | +0.7 | 93/93 | n=93 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
LAR — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 434 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game | n=434 |
| LAR has failed to cover 3 straight | n=3 |
LAR — combinations
168 lean LAR · 52 lean against
Read this first. 241 combinations shown. The best one here is 91%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at this venue + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 52% | +5.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| in December + in the last 5 seasons | 18-4 | 82%from 52% | +5.8 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| vs SEA + in the last 5 seasons | 8-3 | 73%from 54% | +3.6 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| at this venue + under this head coach | 8-3 | 73%from 52% | +6.0 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 73% | +5.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| in December + under this head coach | 28-12 | 70%from 52% | +3.6 | 40/40 | n=40 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 18-4 | 82%from 70% | +5.8 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| vs SEA + under this head coach | 13-7 | 65%from 54% | +3.9 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-3 | 73%from 65% | +3.6 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| in a division game + under this head coach | 35-22 | 61%from 49% | +2.6 | 57/57 | n=57 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 20-13 | 61%from 61% | +0.6 | 33/33 | n=33 |
| in a division game + in the last 5 seasons | 20-13 | 61%from 49% | +0.6 | 33/33 | n=33 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 20-13 | 61%from 45% | +1.5 | 33/33 | n=33 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 47-36 | 57%from 47% | +1.9 | 83/83 | n=83 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 26-22 | 54%from 57% | +0.4 | 48/48 | n=48 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 46-36 | 56%from 45% | +1.9 | 82/82 | n=82 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 20-13 | 61%from 56% | +1.5 | 33/33 | n=33 |
| in December + on turf | 42-33 | 56%from 52% | +0.6 | 23/75 | n=75 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-3 | 82%from 56% | +5.4 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + under this head coach | 17-6 | 74%from 56% | +4.0 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-3 | 82%from 74% | +5.4 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + at this venue | 4-6 | 40%from 56% | +0.7 | 3/10 | n=10 |
| on turf + under this head coach | 49-40 | 55%from 47% | +1.1 | 89/89 | n=89 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 36-30 | 55%from 55% | +0.7 | 66/66 | n=66 |
| vs SEA + in a division game | 28-23 | 55%from 54% | +1.1 | 20/51 | n=51 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-3 | 73%from 55% | +3.6 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + under this head coach | 13-7 | 65%from 55% | +3.9 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-3 | 73%from 65% | +3.6 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + on turf | 26-21 | 55%from 55% | +0.9 | 17/47 | n=47 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-3 | 73%from 55% | +3.6 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + under this head coach | 12-5 | 71%from 55% | +4.5 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| + at this venue | 14-13 | 52%from 55% | 0.0 | 11/27 | n=27 |
| + at this venue | 14-13 | 52%from 55% | 0.0 | 11/27 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 52% | +5.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 8-3 | 73%from 52% | +6.0 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + outdoors | 16-15 | 52%from 55% | +0.4 | 14/31 | n=31 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 52% | +5.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 9-5 | 64%from 52% | +4.9 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| + on turf | 14-13 | 52%from 52% | 0.0 | 11/27 | n=27 |
| + at this venue | 14-13 | 52%from 52% | 0.0 | 11/27 | n=27 |
| + in December | 7-8 | 47%from 55% | +1.5 | 6/15 | n=15 |
| + under this head coach | 5-1 | 83%from 47% | +7.6 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 5-6 | 45%from 47% | +1.9 | 4/11 | n=11 |
| + on turf | 6-8 | 43%from 47% | +0.6 | 5/14 | n=14 |
| + at this venue | 4-6 | 40%from 47% | +0.7 | 3/10 | n=10 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.