LAC at MIA—

ST Model MIA -0.7

Trends · player props · 2026 week 16

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	118-94	56%	+1.1	19/212	n=212
vs MIA	5-12	29%	-5.8	1/17	n=17
off a bye	19-24	44%	-3.8	4/43	n=43
in the Sunday early window	60-46	57%	+1.2	10/106	n=106
in December	58-54	52%	0.0	9/112	n=112
outdoors	171-168	50%	+0.8	13/339	n=339
on grass	154-149	51%	+0.7	13/303	n=303
at this venue	1-6	14%	-11.4	1/7	n=7
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

50 lean LAC · 72 lean against

Read this first. 143 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + under this head coach	7-2	78%from 52%	+4.1	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 78%	+4.1	9/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + in December	17-10	63%from 57%	+3.6	3/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 63%	+4.6	3/6	n=6
+ on grass	9-5	64%from 63%	+3.3	1/14	n=14
+ outdoors	12-9	57%from 63%	+3.4	1/21	n=21
+ on grass	9-5	64%from 57%	+3.3	1/14	n=14
in December + in the last 5 seasons	13-8	62%from 52%	+0.2	9/21	n=21
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	22-14	61%from 61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
on the road + in December	32-22	59%from 56%	+2.2	5/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 59%	+12.0	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 100%	+12.0	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 59%	+2.0	5/12	n=12
+ on grass	21-13	62%from 59%	+2.4	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 62%	-7.1	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	25-18	58%from 59%	+3.4	3/43	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 58%	+9.7	3/6	n=6
+ on grass	20-11	65%from 58%	+3.8	2/31	n=31
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 57%	+0.1	10/22	n=22
in the Sunday early window + on grass	36-26	58%from 57%	+1.2	7/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 58%	-1.1	7/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 58%	-0.3	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 43%	-0.3	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	1-4	20%from 58%	-13.3	1/5	n=5
on the road + on grass	80-61	57%from 56%	+1.2	13/141	n=141
+ under this head coach	7-6	54%from 57%	+1.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 54%	+1.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-16	47%from 57%	-2.4	13/30	n=30
+ at this venue	1-6	14%from 57%	-11.4	1/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	103-106	49%	-0.1	0/209	n=209
vs LAC	12-5	71%	+5.8	0/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window	134-137	49%	-0.2	0/271	n=271
in December	54-59	48%	-0.4	0/113	n=113
outdoors	188-191	50%	-0.3	0/379	n=379
on grass	148-156	49%	-0.1	0/304	n=304
at this venue	102-104	50%	-0.0	0/206	n=206
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

58 lean MIA · 45 lean against

Read this first. 124 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + vs LAC	6-1	86%from 49%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	6-1	86%from 86%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-1	86%from 86%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 86%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-1	86%from 86%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 86%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 86%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 86%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
vs LAC + at this venue	6-1	86%from 71%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
vs LAC + in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 71%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+13.3	0/5	n=5
vs LAC + outdoors	11-4	73%from 71%	+6.9	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 73%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	11-4	73%from 73%	+6.9	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 73%	+11.4	0/7	n=7
vs LAC + on grass	11-4	73%from 71%	+6.9	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 73%	+11.4	0/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.