HOU at PHI—

ST Model HOU -0.5

Since first recorded PHI -2.5o/u 37.5unchanged · 6d ago · 3 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 16

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs PHI	2-4	33%	-2.7	0/6	n=6
on a short week	6-11	35%	-1.9	3/17	n=17
on Thursday night	6-11	35%	-0.8	2/17	n=17
in December	49-54	48%	-0.9	13/103	n=103
outdoors	101-99	51%	+1.0	24/200	n=200
on grass	116-117	50%	+0.6	14/233	n=233
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

28 lean HOU · 24 lean against

Read this first. 70 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 48%	+0.9	13/21	n=21
on grass + under this head coach	8-6	57%from 50%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 50%	+5.1	14/25	n=25
in December + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 48%	-1.5	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 54%	-1.5	13/13	n=13
outdoors + on grass	80-69	54%from 51%	+2.4	14/149	n=149
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 54%	+6.2	14/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 54%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
in December + on grass	34-30	53%from 48%	+1.3	4/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 53%	+7.3	4/6	n=6
on the road + on grass	60-55	52%from 48%	+2.2	14/115	n=115
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 52%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 52%	+5.1	14/25	n=25
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	29-27	52%from 52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
on the road + under this head coach	15-14	52%from 48%	+1.7	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-14	52%from 52%	+1.7	29/29	n=29
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	23-22	51%from 48%	+1.6	29/45	n=45
in December + outdoors	26-26	50%from 48%	+0.0	5/52	n=52
+ on grass	24-20	55%from 50%	+2.1	4/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 55%	+7.3	4/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	+0.8	5/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 50%	-2.4	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 40%	-2.4	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

PHI — the basics

449 graded games since 1999

at home	115-112	51%	+0.8	48/227	n=227
vs HOU	4-2	67%	+2.7	1/6	n=6
on Thursday night	11-8	58%	+0.1	5/19	n=19
in December	57-52	52%	+1.9	20/109	n=109
outdoors	208-178	54%	+1.4	75/386	n=386
on grass	156-151	51%	+0.8	64/307	n=307
at this venue	96-101	49%	+0.5	45/197	n=197
under this head coach	49-43	53%	+1.3	92/92	n=92
in the last 5 seasons	49-43	53%	+1.3	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PHI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 449 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=449
PHI has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

PHI — combinations

82 lean PHI · 23 lean against

Read this first. 117 combinations shown. The best one here is 69%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Thursday night + on grass	9-4	69%from 58%	+2.3	3/13	n=13
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 69%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
on Thursday night + outdoors	10-6	63%from 58%	+0.3	4/16	n=16
+ on grass	9-4	69%from 63%	+2.3	3/13	n=13
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 69%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 63%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
at home + on Thursday night	6-4	60%from 51%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
+ outdoors	6-4	60%from 60%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 60%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 60%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 60%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
on Thursday night + at this venue	6-4	60%from 58%	+0.1	3/10	n=10
outdoors + under this head coach	42-33	56%from 54%	+0.9	75/75	n=75
+ in the last 5 seasons	42-33	56%from 56%	+0.9	75/75	n=75
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	42-33	56%from 54%	+0.9	75/75	n=75
in December + outdoors	52-42	55%from 52%	+2.4	17/94	n=94
+ under this head coach	10-7	59%from 55%	+3.7	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 59%	+3.7	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 55%	+3.7	17/17	n=17
+ on grass	33-34	49%from 55%	+1.7	13/67	n=67
+ under this head coach	7-6	54%from 49%	+2.9	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 49%	+2.9	13/13	n=13
+ at this venue	21-23	48%from 49%	+1.3	9/44	n=44
+ at this venue	21-23	48%from 55%	+1.3	9/44	n=44
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 48%	+4.1	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 48%	+4.1	9/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.