CLE at BAL—

ST Model BAL -10.3

Trends · player props · 2026 week 16

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CLE — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

on the road	94-117	45%	-2.0	0/211	n=211
vs BAL	23-28	45%	-2.0	0/51	n=51
in a division game	73-89	45%	-2.0	0/162	n=162
in the Sunday early window	133-171	44%	-2.0	0/304	n=304
in December	49-62	44%	-3.3	0/111	n=111
outdoors	171-211	45%	-2.0	0/382	n=382
on grass	148-172	46%	-1.9	0/320	n=320
at this venue	13-13	50%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
in the last 5 seasons	36-48	43%	-2.2	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CLE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=415
CLE has covered 3 straight	n=3

CLE — combinations

30 lean CLE · 144 lean against

Read this first. 219 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 14.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + at this venue	5-0	100%from 44%	+4.0	0/5	n=5
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	9-8	53%from 44%	-2.1	0/17	n=17
on the road + vs BAL	13-13	50%from 45%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
+ in December	5-0	100%from 50%	+4.0	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+4.0	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+4.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	9-8	53%from 50%	-2.1	0/17	n=17
+ outdoors	9-8	53%from 53%	-2.1	0/17	n=17
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 53%	-2.1	0/17	n=17
+ on grass	4-4	50%from 53%	-1.6	0/8	n=8
+ in a division game	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
+ in December	5-0	100%from 50%	+4.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	9-8	53%from 50%	-2.1	0/17	n=17
+ outdoors	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
+ on grass	6-7	46%from 50%	-2.0	0/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.7	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
+ on grass	6-7	46%from 50%	-2.0	0/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.7	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	13-13	50%from 50%	-2.5	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.7	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	6-7	46%from 50%	-2.0	0/13	n=13
+ at this venue	6-7	46%from 46%	-2.0	0/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 46%	-1.7	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.7	0/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

at home	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
vs CLE	28-23	55%	+2.0	0/51	n=51
in a division game	82-81	50%	+1.2	0/163	n=163
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in December	62-48	56%	+2.9	0/110	n=110
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
at this venue	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

90 lean BAL · 111 lean against

Read this first. 238 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 81% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + on grass	40-24	63%from 56%	+3.2	0/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 63%	+3.9	0/16	n=16
+ at this venue	16-14	53%from 63%	+3.5	0/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 53%	+2.0	0/9	n=9
in December + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 56%	+5.0	0/20	n=20
in the Sunday early window + in December	33-23	59%from 53%	+4.0	0/56	n=56
+ on grass	23-9	72%from 59%	+5.9	0/32	n=32
+ at this venue	10-6	63%from 72%	+7.1	0/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 72%	+3.0	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	33-22	60%from 59%	+4.4	0/55	n=55
+ on grass	23-8	74%from 60%	+6.7	0/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 60%	+3.5	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	15-16	48%from 60%	+3.6	0/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 59%	+3.5	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	15-16	48%from 59%	+3.6	0/31	n=31
vs CLE + on grass	22-16	58%from 55%	+1.7	0/38	n=38
+ at this venue	7-6	54%from 58%	+2.0	0/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 54%	+1.7	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 58%	+1.2	0/10	n=10
in December + outdoors	59-46	56%from 56%	+2.9	0/105	n=105
+ on grass	39-23	63%from 56%	+3.6	0/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 63%	+3.9	0/16	n=16
+ at this venue	16-14	53%from 63%	+3.5	0/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 56%	+4.0	0/19	n=19
+ at this venue	30-31	49%from 56%	+2.5	0/61	n=61
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 49%	+2.0	0/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.