ARI at NO—

ST Model ARI -1.5

Trends · player props · 2026 week 16

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ARI — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-105	50%	-1.4	26/210	n=210
vs NO	5-6	45%	-0.6	1/11	n=11
in the Sunday early window	58-59	50%	-2.2	15/117	n=117
in December	58-53	52%	-0.2	13/111	n=111
indoors	102-102	50%	-0.6	32/204	n=204
on turf	53-58	48%	-1.9	16/111	n=111
at this venue	1-4	20%	-10.3	1/5	n=5
under this head coach	26-25	51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	51/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ARI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=424
ARI has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

ARI — combinations

42 lean ARI · 50 lean against

Read this first. 110 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 76% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 50%	-0.3	15/21	n=21
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	10-5	67%from 50%	-0.8	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 67%	-0.8	15/15	n=15
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	26-18	59%from 50%	+1.0	26/44	n=44
on turf + under this head coach	9-7	56%from 48%	-2.2	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 56%	-2.2	16/16	n=16
on the road + under this head coach	14-12	54%from 50%	-1.4	26/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 54%	-1.4	26/26	n=26
in December + on turf	14-12	54%from 52%	-1.0	4/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 54%	-10.3	4/5	n=5
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	14-12	54%from 48%	-2.2	16/26	n=26
indoors + under this head coach	17-15	53%from 50%	-0.3	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 53%	-0.3	32/32	n=32
indoors + in the last 5 seasons	26-24	52%from 50%	-1.4	32/50	n=50
on the road + in December	28-26	52%from 50%	-1.3	8/54	n=54
+ on turf	14-12	54%from 52%	-1.0	4/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 54%	-10.3	4/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 52%	-0.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-0.3	8/8	n=8
+ indoors	6-7	46%from 52%	-1.5	3/13	n=13
+ on turf	6-6	50%from 46%	-0.7	3/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 52%	-3.4	8/11	n=11
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	26-25	51%from 51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
indoors + on turf	29-30	49%from 50%	-1.3	10/59	n=59
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 49%	+0.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+0.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 49%	0.0	10/17	n=17
+ at this venue	1-4	20%from 49%	-10.3	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

at home	102-117	47%	-0.3	8/219	n=219
vs ARI	6-5	55%	+0.6	1/11	n=11
in the Sunday early window	134-124	52%	+0.6	12/258	n=258
in December	55-56	50%	+0.6	4/111	n=111
indoors	128-144	47%	-0.5	10/272	n=272
on turf	147-154	49%	+0.3	12/301	n=301
at this venue	97-111	47%	-0.3	8/208	n=208
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

26 lean NO · 116 lean against

Read this first. 155 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + vs ARI	4-1	80%from 47%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ indoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
vs ARI + on turf	4-1	80%from 55%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
vs ARI + at this venue	4-1	80%from 55%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 52%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
vs ARI + indoors	5-3	63%from 55%	+4.4	1/8	n=8
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 63%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 63%	+10.3	1/5	n=5
in December + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 50%	+3.4	4/21	n=21
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	30-28	52%from 52%	+2.8	12/58	n=58
in the Sunday early window + on turf	89-93	49%from 52%	+0.3	7/182	n=182
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 49%	+3.9	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	+3.9	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-21	50%from 49%	+3.6	7/42	n=42
+ at this venue	54-75	42%from 49%	-1.9	5/129	n=129
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-16	43%from 42%	+2.6	5/28	n=28
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 42%	+4.3	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.