How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NO — the basics
435 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 122-94 | 56% | +1.7 | 9/216 | n=216 |
| vs TB | 27-23 | 54% | +1.2 | 2/50 | n=50 |
| in a division game | 88-74 | 54% | +1.4 | 6/162 | n=162 |
| in the Sunday early window | 134-124 | 52% | +0.6 | 12/258 | n=258 |
| in December | 55-56 | 50% | +0.6 | 4/111 | n=111 |
| outdoors | 96-67 | 59% | +2.7 | 7/163 | n=163 |
| on grass | 77-57 | 57% | +1.6 | 5/134 | n=134 |
| at this venue | 17-8 | 68% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| under this head coach | 9-8 | 53% | -0.2 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 38-46 | 45% | +0.7 | 17/84 | n=84 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NO — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game | n=435 |
| NO has covered 6 straight | n=6 |
NO — combinations
239 lean NO · 3 lean against
Read this first. 256 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 25.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at this venue + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 68% | +10.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 4-1 | 80%from 57% | +5.5 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +5.5 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + at this venue | 12-4 | 75%from 52% | +5.4 | 1/16 | n=16 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 5-2 | 71%from 59% | +1.1 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 71% | +1.1 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| in a division game + at this venue | 17-7 | 71%from 54% | +6.9 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 71% | +10.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + vs TB | 17-8 | 68%from 56% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 68% | +10.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 12-4 | 75%from 68% | +5.4 | 1/16 | n=16 |
| + outdoors | 12-4 | 75%from 75% | +5.4 | 1/16 | n=16 |
| + on grass | 12-4 | 75%from 75% | +5.4 | 1/16 | n=16 |
| + at this venue | 12-4 | 75%from 75% | +5.4 | 1/16 | n=16 |
| + in December | 4-2 | 67%from 75% | +2.5 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| + in a division game | 17-7 | 71%from 68% | +6.9 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 71% | +10.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 12-3 | 80%from 71% | +7.4 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| + outdoors | 17-7 | 71%from 71% | +6.9 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + on grass | 17-7 | 71%from 71% | +6.9 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + at this venue | 17-7 | 71%from 71% | +6.9 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + in December | 7-3 | 70%from 71% | +5.8 | 1/10 | n=10 |
| + outdoors | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 68% | +10.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + at this venue | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + on grass | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 68% | +10.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + at this venue | 17-8 | 68%from 68% | +5.7 | 1/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 68% | +10.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in December | 7-4 | 64%from 68% | +3.0 | 1/11 | n=11 |
| + outdoors | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +3.0 | 1/11 | n=11 |
| + on grass | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +3.0 | 1/11 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +3.0 | 1/11 | n=11 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.