How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
NE — the basics
455 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 127-93 | 58% | +3.3 | 9/220 | n=220 |
| vs KC | 5-8 | 38% | -4.7 | 0/13 | n=13 |
| off a bye | 36-31 | 54% | +3.0 | 3/67 | n=67 |
| on Monday night | 20-13 | 61% | +2.4 | 1/33 | n=33 |
| in December | 61-47 | 56% | +3.0 | 4/108 | n=108 |
| outdoors | 232-176 | 57% | +2.8 | 20/408 | n=408 |
| on grass | 103-88 | 54% | +1.2 | 6/191 | n=191 |
| at this venue | 2-3 | 40% | -6.4 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| under this head coach | 14-7 | 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-44 | 49% | +1.3 | 21/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
NE — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game | n=455 |
| NE has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
NE — combinations
52 lean NE · 23 lean against
Read this first. 89 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off a bye + on Monday night | 4-1 | 80%from 54% | +15.5 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 7-2 | 78%from 58% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-2 | 78%from 78% | +7.2 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 67% | +5.3 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 4-2 | 67%from 54% | +3.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 67% | +3.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 13-7 | 65%from 57% | +5.5 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 65% | +5.5 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| on the road + off a bye | 19-11 | 63%from 58% | +5.5 | 1/30 | n=30 |
| + outdoors | 12-9 | 57%from 63% | +5.0 | 1/21 | n=21 |
| + on grass | 6-6 | 50%from 57% | +2.3 | 0/12 | n=12 |
| + on grass | 8-7 | 53%from 63% | +2.3 | 0/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-5 | 17%from 63% | -3.6 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| on Monday night + in December | 8-5 | 62%from 61% | +1.7 | 1/13 | n=13 |
| + outdoors | 7-5 | 58%from 62% | +0.8 | 1/12 | n=12 |
| + on grass | 1-4 | 20%from 58% | -11.9 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 2-4 | 33%from 62% | -7.9 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| on Monday night + outdoors | 18-12 | 60%from 61% | +2.1 | 1/30 | n=30 |
| + on grass | 7-7 | 50%from 60% | -2.6 | 0/14 | n=14 |
| vs KC + on Monday night | 3-2 | 60%from 38% | -3.0 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -3.0 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| in December + outdoors | 58-41 | 59%from 56% | +3.0 | 4/99 | n=99 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-6 | 60%from 59% | +2.1 | 4/15 | n=15 |
| + on grass | 25-17 | 60%from 59% | +1.4 | 1/42 | n=42 |
| on the road + outdoors | 103-75 | 58%from 58% | +3.3 | 8/178 | n=178 |
| + under this head coach | 6-2 | 75%from 58% | +7.8 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-2 | 75%from 75% | +7.8 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-12 | 61%from 58% | +3.2 | 8/31 | n=31 |
| + on grass | 58-47 | 55%from 58% | +2.1 | 5/105 | n=105 |
| + under this head coach | 4-1 | 80%from 55% | +6.7 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-7 | 59%from 55% | +3.7 | 5/17 | n=17 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 58% | -6.4 | 0/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.