MIA at GB

ST Model GB -5.4
Trends · player props · 2026 week 15
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
MIA — the basics
419 graded games since 1999
on the road106-10450%-0.30/210n=210
vs GB2-625%-5.30/8n=8
in the Sunday early window134-13749%-0.20/271n=271
in December54-5948%-0.40/113n=113
outdoors188-19150%-0.30/379n=379
on grass148-15649%-0.10/304n=304
in the last 5 seasons44-4251%-0.80/86n=86
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
MIA — form & streaks
Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per gamen=419
MIA — combinations
6 lean MIA · 41 lean against
Read this first. 63 combinations shown. The best one here is 57%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons29-2653%from 49%+0.10/55n=55
in the Sunday early window + outdoors126-12450%from 49%-0.20/250n=250
+ in the last 5 seasons27-2354%from 50%+0.10/50n=50
+ on grass99-9950%from 50%+0.30/198n=198
+ in the last 5 seasons21-2150%from 50%+0.30/42n=42
on the road + outdoors85-8550%from 50%-0.60/170n=170
+ on grass41-4647%from 50%+0.20/87n=87
+ in the last 5 seasons3-1319%from 47%-8.30/16n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons14-1942%from 50%-4.90/33n=33
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons38-3850%from 50%-1.10/76n=76
in December + in the last 5 seasons10-1050%from 48%+0.30/20n=20
in the Sunday early window + on grass100-10150%from 49%+0.20/201n=201
+ in the last 5 seasons21-2150%from 50%+0.30/42n=42
outdoors + on grass144-15249%from 50%-0.00/296n=296
+ in the last 5 seasons27-3246%from 49%-1.00/59n=59
in December + outdoors51-5449%from 48%-0.30/105n=105
+ in the last 5 seasons9-853%from 49%+0.40/17n=17
+ on grass38-4446%from 49%-0.60/82n=82
+ in the last 5 seasons7-847%from 46%-1.30/15n=15
on the road + in December25-2748%from 50%-0.80/52n=52
+ outdoors22-2250%from 48%-0.80/44n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons4-357%from 50%+0.80/7n=7
+ on grass9-1243%from 50%-2.10/21n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons5-550%from 48%+0.50/10n=10
+ on grass9-1341%from 48%-2.10/22n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 41%-4.00/5n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.