JAX at HOU—

ST Model HOU -2.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 15

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-104	50%	-1.2	8/209	n=209
vs HOU	20-27	43%	-3.0	2/47	n=47
in a division game	84-73	54%	+0.6	6/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	145-155	48%	-0.2	13/300	n=300
in December	55-59	48%	+0.7	4/114	n=114
on turf	49-47	51%	-1.4	3/96	n=96
at this venue	11-12	48%	-1.3	1/23	n=23
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

84 lean JAX · 25 lean against

Read this first. 144 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 76% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	5-1	83%from 54%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
in a division game + on turf	22-11	67%from 54%	+1.7	2/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 67%	+0.8	2/10	n=10
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 67%	+0.1	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	0.0	1/5	n=5
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	19-11	63%from 54%	+2.8	6/30	n=30
on the road + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-5	62%from 48%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 62%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 48%	0.0	1/5	n=5
in a division game + in December	27-19	59%from 54%	+3.0	2/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 59%	+2.9	2/8	n=8
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 59%	-2.1	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 59%	-1.7	0/6	n=6
vs HOU + in December	8-6	57%from 43%	-0.3	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 57%	-1.7	0/6	n=6
in a division game + in the Sunday early window	68-53	56%from 54%	+1.0	6/121	n=121
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 56%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-10	66%from 56%	+3.0	6/29	n=29
+ on turf	18-11	62%from 56%	+1.2	2/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 62%	+0.8	2/10	n=10
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 62%	+0.1	1/9	n=9
+ in December	19-14	58%from 56%	+1.8	2/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 58%	+2.9	2/8	n=8
+ on turf	3-3	50%from 58%	-2.7	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	10-10	50%from 56%	-0.9	1/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	0.0	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

at home	95-100	49%	-0.2	27/195	n=195
vs JAX	27-20	57%	+3.0	6/47	n=47
in a division game	74-66	53%	+1.6	18/140	n=140
in the Sunday early window	143-139	51%	+0.2	37/282	n=282
in December	49-54	48%	-0.9	13/103	n=103
on turf	74-86	46%	-1.4	42/160	n=160
at this venue	95-100	49%	-0.2	27/195	n=195
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

78 lean HOU · 81 lean against

Read this first. 211 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs JAX + in a division game	27-20	57%from 57%	+3.0	6/47	n=47
+ in the Sunday early window	24-18	57%from 57%	+3.1	6/42	n=42
+ at this venue	10-10	50%from 57%	+0.9	3/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 57%	+5.5	6/10	n=10
+ in December	5-6	45%from 57%	+1.4	1/11	n=11
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 57%	-0.1	3/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 57%	+4.4	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	12-11	52%from 57%	+1.3	3/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 52%	0.0	3/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 57%	+5.5	6/10	n=10
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 57%	-0.1	3/9	n=9
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 44%	-0.1	3/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 44%	0.0	3/5	n=5
+ in December	6-8	43%from 57%	+0.3	1/14	n=14
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 43%	+1.7	0/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 57%	+4.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 33%	+4.4	6/6	n=6
vs JAX + in the Sunday early window	24-18	57%from 57%	+3.1	6/42	n=42
+ at this venue	10-10	50%from 57%	+0.9	3/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	0.0	3/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 57%	+5.5	6/10	n=10
+ in December	5-6	45%from 57%	+1.4	1/11	n=11
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 57%	-0.1	3/9	n=9
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 44%	-0.1	3/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 44%	0.0	3/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 57%	+4.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 33%	+4.4	6/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.