IND at TEN—

ST Model IND -7.4

Trends · player props · 2026 week 15

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

IND — the basics

437 graded games since 1999

on the road	119-98	55%	-0.1	25/217	n=217
vs TEN	29-19	60%	+3.6	6/48	n=48
in a division game	79-79	50%	+0.2	18/158	n=158
in the Sunday early window	131-133	50%	+0.4	40/264	n=264
in December	55-56	50%	-0.0	13/111	n=111
outdoors	109-100	52%	-0.4	22/209	n=209
on grass	78-69	53%	-0.8	14/147	n=147
at this venue	14-10	58%	+3.2	3/24	n=24
under this head coach	27-24	53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	43-42	51%	-0.5	51/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

IND — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=437

IND — combinations

206 lean IND · 68 lean against

Read this first. 295 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 7.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs TEN + under this head coach	6-0	100%from 60%	+7.3	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 100%	+7.3	6/6	n=6
vs TEN + in December	12-5	71%from 60%	+4.8	2/17	n=17
+ outdoors	4-3	57%from 71%	+0.7	1/7	n=7
+ on grass	4-3	57%from 57%	+0.7	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 57%	+0.7	1/7	n=7
+ on grass	4-3	57%from 71%	+0.7	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 57%	+0.7	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 71%	+0.7	1/7	n=7
vs TEN + in the Sunday early window	24-14	63%from 60%	+3.7	5/38	n=38
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 63%	+7.1	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 100%	+7.1	5/5	n=5
+ in December	11-3	79%from 63%	+5.3	2/14	n=14
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 79%	-1.0	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 79%	-1.0	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 79%	-1.0	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	10-7	59%from 63%	+2.6	3/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 59%	+2.2	3/5	n=5
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 59%	+2.6	3/17	n=17
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 63%	+2.6	3/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 59%	+2.2	3/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 63%	+0.8	5/9	n=9
+ outdoors	12-10	55%from 63%	+2.3	4/22	n=22
+ on grass	10-7	59%from 55%	+2.6	3/17	n=17
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 55%	+2.6	3/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	+0.4	4/8	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TEN — the basics

421 graded games since 1999

at home	92-114	45%	-1.0	0/206	n=206
vs IND	19-29	40%	-3.6	0/48	n=48
in a division game	68-94	42%	-2.7	0/162	n=162
in the Sunday early window	128-168	43%	-1.5	0/296	n=296
in December	46-63	42%	-1.6	0/109	n=109
outdoors	164-200	45%	-0.9	0/364	n=364
on grass	154-180	46%	-0.5	0/334	n=334
at this venue	92-113	45%	-1.0	0/205	n=205
in the last 5 seasons	35-47	43%	-1.8	0/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 421 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=421
TEN has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

TEN — combinations

0 lean TEN · 236 lean against

Read this first. 248 combinations shown. The best one here is 50%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
outdoors + on grass	148-175	46%from 45%	-0.5	0/323	n=323
+ at this venue	91-113	45%from 46%	-1.0	0/204	n=204
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-22	44%from 45%	-0.7	0/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-33	44%from 46%	-1.0	0/59	n=59
in December + on grass	41-49	46%from 42%	-0.7	0/90	n=90
+ at this venue	26-33	44%from 46%	-0.3	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 44%	-1.1	0/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-12	29%from 46%	-2.4	0/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window + on grass	105-128	45%from 43%	-0.8	0/233	n=233
+ at this venue	67-90	43%from 45%	-1.6	0/157	n=157
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-19	44%from 43%	-0.6	0/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-28	39%from 45%	-2.5	0/46	n=46
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 45%	-0.5	0/40	n=40
at home + at this venue	92-113	45%from 45%	-1.0	0/205	n=205
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 45%	-0.5	0/40	n=40
outdoors + at this venue	92-113	45%from 45%	-1.0	0/205	n=205
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 45%	-0.5	0/40	n=40
vs IND + outdoors	13-16	45%from 40%	-2.9	0/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 45%	-0.4	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	10-14	42%from 45%	-3.2	0/24	n=24
+ at this venue	10-14	42%from 42%	-3.2	0/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 42%	-2.2	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	10-14	42%from 45%	-3.2	0/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 42%	-2.2	0/5	n=5
in December + outdoors	42-52	45%from 42%	-0.8	0/94	n=94
+ on grass	39-48	45%from 45%	-0.9	0/87	n=87
+ at this venue	26-33	44%from 45%	-0.3	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-12	29%from 45%	-2.4	0/17	n=17
+ at this venue	26-33	44%from 45%	-0.3	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 44%	-1.1	0/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-12	29%from 45%	-2.4	0/17	n=17

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.