How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
DEN — the basics
427 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 100-111 | 47% | -1.3 | 25/211 | n=211 |
| vs LV | 21-29 | 42% | -1.6 | 6/50 | n=50 |
| in a division game | 73-80 | 48% | -0.7 | 18/153 | n=153 |
| in the Sunday late window | 110-120 | 48% | -0.1 | 29/230 | n=230 |
| in December | 50-64 | 44% | -1.5 | 13/114 | n=114 |
| indoors | 19-26 | 42% | -1.7 | 11/45 | n=45 |
| on grass | 167-176 | 49% | -0.1 | 38/343 | n=343 |
| at this venue | 1-5 | 17% | -6.8 | 3/6 | n=6 |
| under this head coach | 27-26 | 51% | +1.4 | 53/53 | n=53 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 42-45 | 48% | +0.2 | 53/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
DEN — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game | n=427 |
| DEN has covered 3 straight | n=3 |
DEN — combinations
26 lean DEN · 222 lean against
Read this first. 268 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in the Sunday late window + under this head coach | 17-12 | 59%from 48% | +4.0 | 29/29 | n=29 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-12 | 59%from 59% | +4.0 | 29/29 | n=29 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 21-17 | 55%from 49% | +1.7 | 38/38 | n=38 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 21-17 | 55%from 55% | +1.7 | 38/38 | n=38 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 27-26 | 51%from 51% | +1.4 | 53/53 | n=53 |
| on the road + in the Sunday late window | 36-35 | 51%from 47% | -0.4 | 7/71 | n=71 |
| + on grass | 27-22 | 55%from 51% | +0.5 | 3/49 | n=49 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-4 | 20%from 55% | -3.8 | 3/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 1-5 | 17%from 55% | -6.8 | 3/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 3-4 | 43%from 51% | +1.3 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 43% | +1.3 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + in December | 8-15 | 35%from 51% | -5.4 | 2/23 | n=23 |
| + on grass | 7-13 | 35%from 35% | -5.2 | 1/20 | n=20 |
| + indoors | 1-5 | 17%from 35% | -10.2 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-8 | 33%from 51% | -3.7 | 7/12 | n=12 |
| + at this venue | 1-5 | 17%from 51% | -6.8 | 3/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 1-4 | 20%from 17% | -3.8 | 3/5 | n=5 |
| + indoors | 2-14 | 13%from 51% | -9.5 | 6/16 | n=16 |
| + under this head coach | 2-4 | 33%from 13% | +1.4 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-8 | 20%from 13% | -5.6 | 6/10 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 1-5 | 17%from 13% | -6.8 | 3/6 | n=6 |
| + on grass | 1-6 | 14%from 13% | -10.6 | 3/7 | n=7 |
| in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons | 24-24 | 50%from 48% | +0.9 | 29/48 | n=48 |
| in a division game + under this head coach | 9-9 | 50%from 48% | +3.7 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-9 | 50%from 50% | +3.7 | 18/18 | n=18 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.