CHI at BUF

ST Model BUF -6.4
Trends · player props · 2026 week 15
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
CHI — the basics
414 graded games since 1999
on the road94-10946%-0.19/203n=203
vs BUF2-433%+1.30/6n=6
on Friday/Saturday3-443%-3.73/7n=7
in December48-5945%-0.14/107n=107
outdoors163-17548%+0.315/338n=338
on turf53-6146%+0.03/114n=114
under this head coach11-761%+2.418/18n=18
in the last 5 seasons39-3950%+0.018/78n=78
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
CHI — form & streaks
Last 16 games: +4.4 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 414 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per gamen=414
CHI has covered 2 straightn=2
CHI — combinations
5 lean CHI · 17 lean against
Read this first. 39 combinations shown. The best one here is 61%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons11-761%from 61%+2.418/18n=18
outdoors + under this head coach9-660%from 48%+4.115/15n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons9-660%from 60%+4.115/15n=15
on the road + under this head coach5-456%from 46%-0.69/9n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons5-456%from 56%-0.69/9n=9
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons31-3150%from 48%+1.215/62n=62
in December + on turf13-1350%from 45%+2.70/26n=26
on Friday/Saturday + outdoors3-350%from 43%-3.53/6n=6
on the road + on turf50-5548%from 46%+0.33/105n=105
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 48%-3.33/20n=20
outdoors + on turf20-2347%from 48%-0.31/43n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons3-538%from 47%-1.91/8n=8
on the road + outdoors58-6946%from 46%-0.46/127n=127
+ on turf17-1750%from 46%+0.61/34n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons3-443%from 50%+0.61/7n=7
+ under this head coach3-350%from 46%+2.06/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 50%+2.06/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons8-1535%from 46%-1.56/23n=23
in December + in the last 5 seasons8-1044%from 45%+0.44/18n=18
in December + outdoors39-5143%from 45%-0.74/90n=90
+ on turf5-550%from 43%+2.40/10n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons8-947%from 43%+1.14/17n=17
on turf + in the last 5 seasons9-1243%from 46%-4.03/21n=21
on the road + in the last 5 seasons16-2341%from 46%-2.79/39n=39
on the road + in December19-2940%from 46%-0.82/48n=48
+ on turf12-1250%from 40%+2.70/24n=24
+ outdoors10-2132%from 40%-3.02/31n=31
+ on turf4-450%from 32%+2.30/8n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons1-420%from 32%-3.72/5n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons1-517%from 40%-4.92/6n=6
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.