BAL at PIT

ST Model BAL -0.5
Trends · player props · 2026 week 15
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
BAL — the basics
439 graded games since 1999
on the road122-10254%+1.70/224n=224
vs PIT25-2946%+1.00/54n=54
in a division game82-8150%+1.20/163n=163
in the Sunday early window137-12053%+2.70/257n=257
in December62-4856%+2.90/110n=110
outdoors213-19652%+2.30/409n=409
on grass134-11953%+1.90/253n=253
at this venue13-1350%-0.10/26n=26
in the last 5 seasons44-4450%+1.30/88n=88
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
BAL — form & streaks
Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per gamen=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per gamen=439
BAL — combinations
114 lean BAL · 76 lean against
Read this first. 227 combinations shown. The best one here is 90%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsNowSample
in December + at this venue6-275%from 56%+4.40/8n=8
on the road + in December32-1765%from 54%+3.50/49n=49
+ at this venue6-275%from 65%+4.40/8n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons8-373%from 65%+7.40/11n=11
+ on grass24-1071%from 65%+3.00/34n=34
+ at this venue5-183%from 71%+2.60/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons5-271%from 71%+6.30/7n=7
+ outdoors29-1566%from 65%+3.60/44n=44
+ at this venue6-275%from 66%+4.40/8n=8
+ on grass23-972%from 66%+3.60/32n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons7-370%from 66%+5.80/10n=10
in December + on grass40-2463%from 56%+3.20/64n=64
+ at this venue5-183%from 63%+2.60/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons9-756%from 63%+3.90/16n=16
in December + in the last 5 seasons12-860%from 56%+5.00/20n=20
in the Sunday early window + in December33-2359%from 53%+4.00/56n=56
+ on grass23-972%from 59%+5.90/32n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons3-350%from 72%+3.00/6n=6
+ outdoors33-2260%from 59%+4.40/55n=55
+ on grass23-874%from 60%+6.70/31n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons5-456%from 60%+3.50/9n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons5-456%from 59%+3.50/9n=9
in December + outdoors59-4656%from 56%+2.90/105n=105
+ at this venue6-275%from 56%+4.40/8n=8
+ on grass39-2363%from 56%+3.60/62n=62
+ at this venue5-183%from 63%+2.60/6n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons9-756%from 63%+3.90/16n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons11-858%from 56%+4.00/19n=19
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.