ATL at WAS—

ST Model WAS -1.3

Trends · player props · 2026 week 15

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-106	50%	-0.2	23/212	n=212
vs WAS	5-7	42%	+1.6	2/12	n=12
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in December	52-56	48%	-0.4	13/108	n=108
outdoors	85-82	51%	+0.0	13/167	n=167
on grass	62-62	50%	+0.3	13/124	n=124
at this venue	3-2	60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

44 lean ATL · 40 lean against

Read this first. 107 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + vs WAS	3-2	60%from 50%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
on the road + at this venue	3-2	60%from 50%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
vs WAS + on grass	3-2	60%from 42%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
vs WAS + at this venue	3-2	60%from 42%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
outdoors + at this venue	3-2	60%from 51%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
on grass + at this venue	3-2	60%from 50%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
outdoors + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 51%	-3.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	-4.9	10/10	n=10
on grass + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 50%	-3.3	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 54%	-3.9	11/11	n=11
in December + outdoors	22-19	54%from 48%	-0.4	3/41	n=41
+ on grass	18-17	51%from 54%	-0.8	2/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 51%	-2.4	2/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 54%	-1.9	2/9	n=9
outdoors + on grass	60-54	53%from 51%	+0.7	10/114	n=114
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 53%	+6.7	1/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 53%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-5.9	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 53%	-3.7	8/22	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

WAS — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

at home	90-116	44%	-2.3	17/206	n=206
vs ATL	7-5	58%	-1.6	2/12	n=12
in the Sunday early window	112-118	49%	-0.9	16/230	n=230
in December	54-53	50%	-0.9	8/107	n=107
outdoors	167-185	47%	-1.4	29/352	n=352
on grass	146-156	48%	-1.0	27/302	n=302
at this venue	90-116	44%	-2.3	17/206	n=206
under this head coach	19-18	51%	+0.6	37/37	n=37
in the last 5 seasons	40-45	47%	-1.5	37/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

WAS — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.6 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=415
WAS has covered 2 straight	n=2

WAS — combinations

64 lean WAS · 97 lean against

Read this first. 176 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ATL + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 58%	+2.6	2/5	n=5
at home + under this head coach	11-6	65%from 44%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 65%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
at this venue + under this head coach	11-6	65%from 44%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 65%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
in December + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	-0.6	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	-0.6	8/8	n=8
outdoors + under this head coach	16-13	55%from 47%	+0.5	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-13	55%from 55%	+0.5	29/29	n=29
vs ATL + in the Sunday early window	6-5	55%from 58%	-2.0	1/11	n=11
+ outdoors	2-3	40%from 55%	-6.6	0/5	n=5
in December + on grass	43-36	54%from 50%	-0.5	5/79	n=79
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 54%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 54%	-1.9	5/11	n=11
+ at this venue	24-31	44%from 54%	-3.3	5/55	n=55
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 44%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 44%	-1.5	5/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + in December	28-26	52%from 49%	-1.0	5/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 52%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	21-16	57%from 52%	-0.5	2/37	n=37
+ at this venue	12-16	43%from 57%	-3.5	2/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 57%	-0.2	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	26-23	53%from 52%	-0.6	3/49	n=49
+ on grass	21-16	57%from 53%	-0.5	2/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 53%	+1.0	3/8	n=8
+ at this venue	12-16	43%from 53%	-3.5	2/28	n=28
+ at this venue	12-16	43%from 52%	-3.5	2/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 43%	-0.2	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 52%	-3.1	5/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.