How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
TB — the basics
425 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 106-107 | 50% | +0.6 | 35/213 | n=213 |
| vs BAL | 4-4 | 50% | -4.8 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| in the Sunday early window | 134-125 | 52% | +0.8 | 38/259 | n=259 |
| in December | 48-62 | 44% | -1.4 | 18/110 | n=110 |
| outdoors | 151-184 | 45% | -0.5 | 52/335 | n=335 |
| on grass | 140-168 | 45% | -0.5 | 46/308 | n=308 |
| under this head coach | 31-40 | 44% | +0.0 | 71/71 | n=71 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 41-49 | 46% | +0.1 | 71/90 | n=90 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
TB — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game | n=425 |
| TB has failed to cover 9 straight | n=9 |
TB — combinations
13 lean TB · 71 lean against
Read this first. 101 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in the Sunday early window | 71-59 | 55%from 50% | +1.5 | 19/130 | n=130 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-10 | 58%from 55% | +0.8 | 19/24 | n=24 |
| + under this head coach | 11-8 | 58%from 55% | +1.6 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-8 | 58%from 58% | +1.6 | 19/19 | n=19 |
| + in December | 18-16 | 53%from 55% | -0.4 | 4/34 | n=34 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 53% | +4.3 | 4/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 11-10 | 52%from 53% | +0.1 | 3/21 | n=21 |
| + on grass | 11-11 | 50%from 53% | -0.7 | 3/22 | n=22 |
| + on grass | 30-29 | 51%from 55% | -0.1 | 7/59 | n=59 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 51% | -5.6 | 7/9 | n=9 |
| + under this head coach | 2-5 | 29%from 51% | -6.4 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + outdoors | 34-36 | 49%from 55% | +0.1 | 9/70 | n=70 |
| + on grass | 30-27 | 53%from 49% | +0.6 | 7/57 | n=57 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-8 | 33%from 49% | -4.2 | 9/12 | n=12 |
| + under this head coach | 3-6 | 33%from 49% | -3.8 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 19-16 | 54%from 50% | +0.8 | 35/35 | n=35 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-16 | 54%from 54% | +0.8 | 35/35 | n=35 |
| in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons | 24-21 | 53%from 52% | +0.8 | 38/45 | n=45 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 22-22 | 50%from 50% | -0.2 | 35/44 | n=44 |
| in the Sunday early window + under this head coach | 19-19 | 50%from 52% | +0.6 | 38/38 | n=38 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-19 | 50%from 50% | +0.6 | 38/38 | n=38 |
| vs BAL + outdoors | 4-4 | 50%from 50% | -4.8 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| + on grass | 3-4 | 43%from 50% | -5.5 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| on the road + on grass | 48-50 | 49%from 50% | -0.3 | 12/98 | n=98 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-10 | 33%from 49% | -5.3 | 12/15 | n=15 |
| + under this head coach | 4-8 | 33%from 49% | -6.1 | 12/12 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-8 | 33%from 33% | -6.1 | 12/12 | n=12 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.