PIT at JAX—

ST Model JAX -5.8

Trends · player props · 2026 week 14

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-102	53%	+0.5	0/217	n=217
vs JAX	6-11	35%	-3.7	0/17	n=17
on Monday night	20-18	53%	+1.6	0/38	n=38
in December	62-52	54%	+1.1	0/114	n=114
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	4-4	50%	+2.3	0/8	n=8
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

22 lean PIT · 16 lean against

Read this first. 70 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Monday night + in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 53%	+1.4	0/8	n=8
on Monday night + on grass	14-11	56%from 53%	+1.5	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	-0.2	0/5	n=5
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	35-28	56%from 54%	+0.3	0/63	n=63
in December + in the last 5 seasons	12-10	55%from 54%	-0.2	0/22	n=22
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	40-35	53%from 54%	-0.8	0/75	n=75
outdoors + on grass	146-128	53%from 54%	+1.3	0/274	n=274
+ in the last 5 seasons	33-28	54%from 53%	-0.1	0/61	n=61
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 53%	+2.3	0/8	n=8
in December + outdoors	54-49	52%from 54%	+0.8	0/103	n=103
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 52%	+0.1	0/18	n=18
+ on grass	31-36	46%from 52%	-0.2	0/67	n=67
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 46%	-1.2	0/16	n=16
on the road + on Monday night	11-10	52%from 53%	+0.7	0/21	n=21
+ on grass	7-6	54%from 52%	-0.0	0/13	n=13
+ outdoors	9-9	50%from 52%	-0.2	0/18	n=18
+ on grass	7-6	54%from 50%	-0.0	0/13	n=13
+ in December	2-3	40%from 52%	-1.1	0/5	n=5
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	23-21	52%from 53%	-0.8	0/44	n=44
on the road + outdoors	96-88	52%from 53%	+0.3	0/184	n=184
+ on grass	62-60	51%from 52%	+0.5	0/122	n=122
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 51%	+2.3	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 51%	-1.8	0/20	n=20
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 52%	+2.3	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-17	47%from 52%	-2.2	0/32	n=32

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

at home	96-113	46%	-0.3	10/209	n=209
vs PIT	11-6	65%	+3.7	0/17	n=17
on Monday night	4-9	31%	-8.7	1/13	n=13
in December	55-59	48%	+0.7	4/114	n=114
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on grass	152-170	47%	-0.6	15/322	n=322
at this venue	90-108	45%	-0.5	10/198	n=198
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

52 lean JAX · 26 lean against

Read this first. 112 combinations shown. The best one here is 77%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 69% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	11-4	73%from 47%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-4	73%from 73%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
at home + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 46%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
at this venue + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 45%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
vs PIT + outdoors	11-6	65%from 65%	+3.7	0/17	n=17
+ on grass	8-5	62%from 65%	+2.2	0/13	n=13
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 62%	-2.3	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 65%	-2.3	0/8	n=8
vs PIT + on grass	8-5	62%from 65%	+2.2	0/13	n=13
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 62%	-2.3	0/8	n=8
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	33-28	54%from 47%	+1.3	15/61	n=61
at home + in the last 5 seasons	24-21	53%from 46%	+1.7	10/45	n=45
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 48%	+0.5	14/70	n=70
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 45%	+1.3	10/41	n=41
in December + on grass	46-46	50%from 48%	+1.5	3/92	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 50%	+1.9	3/17	n=17
+ at this venue	29-29	50%from 50%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 50%	+2.6	2/10	n=10
at home + in December	29-29	50%from 46%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 50%	+2.6	2/10	n=10
+ outdoors	29-29	50%from 50%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 50%	+2.6	2/10	n=10
+ on grass	29-29	50%from 50%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ at this venue	29-29	50%from 50%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ on grass	29-29	50%from 50%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 50%	+2.6	2/10	n=10
+ at this venue	29-29	50%from 50%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ at this venue	29-29	50%from 50%	+2.5	2/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 50%	+2.6	2/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.