How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
MIN — the basics
424 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 104-108 | 49% | -1.3 | 30/212 | n=212 |
| vs NE | 3-4 | 43% | -5.8 | 1/7 | n=7 |
| on a short week | 9-6 | 60% | -2.4 | 4/15 | n=15 |
| on Thursday night | 10-8 | 56% | -2.1 | 4/18 | n=18 |
| in December | 55-56 | 50% | +0.1 | 15/111 | n=111 |
| outdoors | 86-89 | 49% | -1.8 | 23/175 | n=175 |
| on turf | 156-142 | 52% | +0.8 | 48/298 | n=298 |
| under this head coach | 34-31 | 52% | +0.3 | 65/65 | n=65 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-39 | 52% | +0.2 | 65/82 | n=82 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
MIN — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 424 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=424 |
| MIN has covered 5 straight | n=5 |
MIN — combinations
44 lean MIN · 15 lean against
Read this first. 74 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on Thursday night + in December | 5-0 | 100%from 56% | +6.9 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on a short week + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 60% | -1.8 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on Thursday night + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 56% | -1.8 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 16-7 | 70%from 49% | +0.8 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-7 | 70%from 70% | +0.8 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 19-10 | 66%from 49% | +0.1 | 23/29 | n=29 |
| on a short week + on Thursday night | 9-6 | 60%from 60% | -2.4 | 4/15 | n=15 |
| + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 60% | -1.8 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -1.6 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 6-5 | 55%from 60% | -2.0 | 4/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 55% | -1.6 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| in December + under this head coach | 9-6 | 60%from 50% | +3.8 | 15/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-6 | 60%from 60% | +3.8 | 15/15 | n=15 |
| on a short week + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -1.6 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| on Thursday night + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 56% | -1.6 | 4/5 | n=5 |
| in December + in the last 5 seasons | 11-8 | 58%from 50% | +2.7 | 15/19 | n=19 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 17-13 | 57%from 49% | -1.6 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 17-13 | 57%from 57% | -1.6 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 22-17 | 56%from 49% | -1.6 | 30/39 | n=39 |
| on the road + on a short week | 5-4 | 56%from 49% | -4.7 | 2/9 | n=9 |
| + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 56% | -1.8 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + on Thursday night | 5-4 | 56%from 56% | -4.7 | 2/9 | n=9 |
| + outdoors | 4-1 | 80%from 56% | -1.8 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 2-3 | 40%from 56% | -5.7 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 2-3 | 40%from 56% | -5.7 | 2/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.