LAR at SF—

ST Model LAR -1.2

Trends · player props · 2026 week 14

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LAR — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

on the road	104-117	47%	-1.6	83/221	n=221
vs SF	21-30	41%	-3.7	19/51	n=51
in a division game	80-83	49%	-1.1	57/163	n=163
off a bye	24-24	50%	+1.2	24/48	n=48
in the Sunday late window	81-81	50%	-1.0	79/162	n=162
in December	59-55	52%	-0.6	40/114	n=114
outdoors	87-107	45%	-2.4	82/194	n=194
on grass	75-83	47%	-1.8	72/158	n=158
at this venue	6-6	50%	-1.8	9/12	n=12
under this head coach	89-72	55%	+1.1	161/161	n=161
in the last 5 seasons	51-42	55%	+0.7	93/93	n=93

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=434
LAR has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAR — combinations

186 lean LAR · 109 lean against

Read this first. 356 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + in the last 5 seasons	18-4	82%from 52%	+5.8	22/22	n=22
in the Sunday late window + at this venue	4-1	80%from 50%	+9.1	3/5	n=5
in December + under this head coach	28-12	70%from 52%	+3.6	40/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-4	82%from 70%	+5.8	22/22	n=22
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	29-16	64%from 50%	+1.5	45/45	n=45
in a division game + under this head coach	35-22	61%from 49%	+2.6	57/57	n=57
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-13	61%from 61%	+0.6	33/33	n=33
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	20-13	61%from 49%	+0.6	33/33	n=33
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	20-13	61%from 45%	+1.5	33/33	n=33
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	-2.5	5/5	n=5
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	46-33	58%from 50%	+1.4	79/79	n=79
+ in the last 5 seasons	29-16	64%from 58%	+1.5	45/45	n=45
vs SF + in December	8-6	57%from 41%	+0.1	4/14	n=14
+ outdoors	3-4	43%from 57%	-2.5	4/7	n=7
+ on grass	3-4	43%from 43%	-2.5	4/7	n=7
+ on grass	3-4	43%from 57%	-2.5	4/7	n=7
on the road + under this head coach	47-36	57%from 47%	+1.9	83/83	n=83
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-22	54%from 57%	+0.4	48/48	n=48
outdoors + under this head coach	46-36	56%from 45%	+1.9	82/82	n=82
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-13	61%from 56%	+1.5	33/33	n=33
on grass + under this head coach	40-32	56%from 47%	+1.2	72/72	n=72
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-12	56%from 56%	+0.7	27/27	n=27
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	15-12	56%from 47%	+0.7	27/27	n=27
at this venue + under this head coach	5-4	56%from 50%	+0.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	-2.5	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	106-111	49%	+0.6	79/217	n=217
vs LAR	30-21	59%	+3.7	19/51	n=51
in a division game	79-81	49%	+0.3	56/160	n=160
in the Sunday late window	106-110	49%	-0.2	78/216	n=216
in December	53-58	48%	+0.1	40/111	n=111
outdoors	174-181	49%	-0.1	130/355	n=355
on grass	158-166	49%	+0.2	123/324	n=324
at this venue	45-55	45%	-0.3	76/100	n=100
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

111 lean SF · 187 lean against

Read this first. 342 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + in the last 5 seasons	13-8	62%from 48%	+2.1	21/21	n=21
vs LAR + outdoors	18-12	60%from 59%	+4.8	12/30	n=30
+ on grass	18-12	60%from 60%	+4.8	12/30	n=30
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 60%	+1.8	9/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	6-6	50%from 60%	+2.0	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 60%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 60%	+1.8	9/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	4-5	44%from 50%	-0.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	6-6	50%from 60%	+2.0	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 60%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
vs LAR + on grass	18-12	60%from 59%	+4.8	12/30	n=30
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 60%	+1.8	9/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	4-5	44%from 50%	-0.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	6-6	50%from 60%	+2.0	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 60%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
vs LAR + in a division game	30-21	59%from 59%	+3.7	19/51	n=51
+ outdoors	18-12	60%from 59%	+4.8	12/30	n=30
+ on grass	18-12	60%from 60%	+4.8	12/30	n=30
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 60%	+1.8	9/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	6-6	50%from 60%	+2.0	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 60%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	18-12	60%from 59%	+4.8	12/30	n=30
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 60%	+1.8	9/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	6-6	50%from 60%	+2.0	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 60%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	11-8	58%from 59%	+3.0	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 58%	+3.4	11/11	n=11
+ in the Sunday late window	15-11	58%from 59%	+3.7	11/26	n=26
+ outdoors	12-9	57%from 58%	+3.6	6/21	n=21
+ on grass	12-9	57%from 58%	+3.6	6/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	5-6	45%from 58%	+0.7	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 58%	-0.8	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	1-4	20%from 58%	-9.1	3/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 59%	+3.4	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 59%	+1.8	9/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	4-5	44%from 50%	-0.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+2.5	5/5	n=5
+ in December	6-8	43%from 59%	-0.1	4/14	n=14
+ outdoors	4-3	57%from 43%	+2.5	4/7	n=7
+ on grass	4-3	57%from 43%	+2.5	4/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.