KC at CIN—

ST Model CIN -0.1

Trends · player props · 2026 week 14

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-101	53%	+0.5	112/216	n=216
vs CIN	6-9	40%	-1.2	8/15	n=15
off a bye	27-33	45%	+0.1	41/60	n=60
in the Sunday late window	60-53	53%	+1.7	65/113	n=113
in December	56-54	51%	+1.1	55/110	n=110
outdoors	202-193	51%	+1.0	203/395	n=395
on turf	43-49	47%	-1.5	61/92	n=92
at this venue	1-5	17%	-6.2	3/6	n=6
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

31 lean KC · 100 lean against

Read this first. 151 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
off a bye + in the Sunday late window	12-8	60%from 45%	+4.3	15/20	n=20
+ outdoors	12-6	67%from 60%	+5.4	13/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	8-5	62%from 67%	+4.5	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 67%	-0.5	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	8-7	53%from 60%	+3.1	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 53%	-1.2	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 60%	-1.2	7/7	n=7
on the road + in the Sunday late window	48-36	57%from 53%	+1.6	40/84	n=84
+ under this head coach	24-16	60%from 57%	+4.4	40/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 60%	-0.8	17/17	n=17
+ outdoors	43-29	60%from 57%	+1.8	29/72	n=72
+ under this head coach	19-10	66%from 60%	+6.0	29/29	n=29
+ on turf	6-5	55%from 60%	-1.8	4/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 60%	-3.6	10/10	n=10
+ on turf	9-8	53%from 57%	-1.6	10/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 53%	+0.9	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	4-6	40%from 53%	-0.8	10/10	n=10
+ in December	10-10	50%from 57%	-2.0	10/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	6-4	60%from 50%	+3.8	10/10	n=10
+ outdoors	9-9	50%from 50%	-2.0	8/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 57%	-0.8	17/17	n=17
in the Sunday late window + in December	15-12	56%from 53%	+0.3	16/27	n=27
+ under this head coach	10-6	63%from 56%	+5.3	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 63%	+0.6	5/5	n=5
+ outdoors	14-11	56%from 56%	+0.6	14/25	n=25
+ under this head coach	9-5	64%from 56%	+6.4	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 56%	+0.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 56%	+0.6	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CIN — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	99-108	48%	-1.0	58/207	n=207
vs KC	9-6	60%	+1.2	6/15	n=15
in the Sunday late window	40-18	69%	+4.1	19/58	n=58
in December	65-46	59%	+0.9	30/111	n=111
outdoors	197-187	51%	-0.4	109/384	n=384
on turf	118-117	50%	-0.8	58/235	n=235
at this venue	98-107	48%	-1.0	57/205	n=205
under this head coach	67-53	56%	+0.1	120/120	n=120
in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%	+0.7	88/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=419

CIN — combinations

111 lean CIN · 24 lean against

Read this first. 151 combinations shown. The best one here is 87%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday late window + in December	13-2	87%from 69%	+7.7	5/15	n=15
+ outdoors	12-2	86%from 87%	+7.1	5/14	n=14
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 86%	+4.0	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 86%	+4.0	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 87%	+4.0	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+4.0	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 87%	+4.0	5/5	n=5
at home + vs KC	5-1	83%from 48%	+6.2	2/6	n=6
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+6.2	2/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+6.2	2/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 83%	+5.2	2/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+6.2	2/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 83%	+5.2	2/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.2	2/5	n=5
vs KC + at this venue	5-1	83%from 60%	+6.2	2/6	n=6
vs KC + on turf	4-1	80%from 60%	+5.2	2/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.2	2/5	n=5
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	11-4	73%from 69%	+6.7	15/15	n=15
in December + in the last 5 seasons	15-6	71%from 59%	+2.3	21/21	n=21
in the Sunday late window + outdoors	37-16	70%from 69%	+4.2	16/53	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 70%	+6.9	12/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	11-5	69%from 70%	+4.8	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 69%	+6.9	12/12	n=12
+ on turf	12-6	67%from 70%	+7.2	5/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 67%	+6.8	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 67%	+4.4	3/12	n=12
+ at this venue	6-9	40%from 70%	+1.5	4/15	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.