How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
IND — the basics
437 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 119-98 | 55% | -0.1 | 25/217 | n=217 |
| vs PHI | 5-1 | 83% | +8.2 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| off a bye | 29-20 | 59% | +1.9 | 3/49 | n=49 |
| in the Sunday early window | 131-133 | 50% | +0.4 | 40/264 | n=264 |
| in December | 55-56 | 50% | -0.0 | 13/111 | n=111 |
| outdoors | 109-100 | 52% | -0.4 | 22/209 | n=209 |
| on grass | 78-69 | 53% | -0.8 | 14/147 | n=147 |
| under this head coach | 27-24 | 53% | +0.2 | 51/51 | n=51 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 43-42 | 51% | -0.5 | 51/85 | n=85 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
IND — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game | n=437 |
IND — combinations
50 lean IND · 39 lean against
Read this first. 105 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| off a bye + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 59% | +0.6 | 3/7 | n=7 |
| on the road + off a bye | 12-6 | 67%from 55% | +3.8 | 2/18 | n=18 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 6-3 | 67%from 67% | +6.4 | 1/9 | n=9 |
| + outdoors | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +2.1 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| + on grass | 6-4 | 60%from 67% | +0.8 | 2/10 | n=10 |
| + outdoors | 7-5 | 58%from 67% | +3.9 | 2/12 | n=12 |
| + on grass | 5-3 | 63%from 58% | +4.0 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| off a bye + in December | 6-4 | 60%from 59% | +4.3 | 1/10 | n=10 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 13-9 | 59%from 52% | -0.9 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-9 | 59%from 59% | -0.9 | 22/22 | n=22 |
| off a bye + outdoors | 10-7 | 59%from 59% | +3.7 | 2/17 | n=17 |
| + on grass | 5-4 | 56%from 59% | +1.5 | 2/9 | n=9 |
| on grass + in the last 5 seasons | 14-10 | 58%from 53% | -1.2 | 14/24 | n=24 |
| off a bye + in the Sunday early window | 16-12 | 57%from 59% | +3.3 | 2/28 | n=28 |
| + outdoors | 6-4 | 60%from 57% | +4.7 | 1/10 | n=10 |
| + in December | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | +6.0 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 8-6 | 57%from 53% | -1.2 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-6 | 57%from 57% | -1.2 | 14/14 | n=14 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 14-11 | 56%from 55% | -1.2 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-11 | 56%from 56% | -1.2 | 25/25 | n=25 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 21-17 | 55%from 52% | -1.2 | 22/38 | n=38 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 23-19 | 55%from 55% | -1.4 | 25/42 | n=42 |
| off a bye + on grass | 6-5 | 55%from 59% | -0.9 | 2/11 | n=11 |
| on the road + on grass | 78-67 | 54%from 55% | -0.7 | 13/145 | n=145 |
| + under this head coach | 8-5 | 62%from 54% | -1.3 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-5 | 62%from 62% | -1.3 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 54% | -1.3 | 13/23 | n=23 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.