HOU at WAS—

ST Model HOU -3.6

Trends · player props · 2026 week 14

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs WAS	2-4	33%	-4.1	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window	143-139	51%	+0.2	37/282	n=282
in December	49-54	48%	-0.9	13/103	n=103
outdoors	101-99	51%	+1.0	24/200	n=200
on grass	116-117	50%	+0.6	14/233	n=233
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

61 lean HOU · 14 lean against

Read this first. 93 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 78% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 48%	+0.9	13/21	n=21
on grass + under this head coach	8-6	57%from 50%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 50%	+5.1	14/25	n=25
in the Sunday early window + outdoors	75-64	54%from 51%	+2.0	16/139	n=139
+ under this head coach	9-7	56%from 54%	+4.3	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 56%	+4.3	16/16	n=16
+ on grass	57-45	56%from 54%	+3.4	9/102	n=102
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 56%	+7.7	9/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 56%	+7.1	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-13	50%from 54%	+2.7	16/26	n=26
in December + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 48%	-1.5	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 54%	-1.5	13/13	n=13
outdoors + on grass	80-69	54%from 51%	+2.4	14/149	n=149
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 54%	+6.2	14/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 54%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
in December + on grass	34-30	53%from 48%	+1.3	4/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 53%	+7.3	4/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in December	42-38	53%from 51%	-0.0	8/80	n=80
+ under this head coach	5-3	63%from 53%	+0.2	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+0.2	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 53%	+2.1	8/15	n=15
+ on grass	28-22	56%from 53%	+1.4	2/50	n=50
+ outdoors	21-19	53%from 53%	+0.2	3/40	n=40
+ on grass	19-14	58%from 53%	+2.3	2/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 53%	-2.4	3/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

WAS — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

at home	90-116	44%	-2.3	17/206	n=206
vs HOU	4-2	67%	+4.1	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window	112-118	49%	-0.9	16/230	n=230
in December	54-53	50%	-0.9	8/107	n=107
outdoors	167-185	47%	-1.4	29/352	n=352
on grass	146-156	48%	-1.0	27/302	n=302
at this venue	90-116	44%	-2.3	17/206	n=206
under this head coach	19-18	51%	+0.6	37/37	n=37
in the last 5 seasons	40-45	47%	-1.5	37/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

WAS — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.6 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=415
WAS has covered 2 straight	n=2

WAS — combinations

64 lean WAS · 83 lean against

Read this first. 161 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs HOU + in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 67%	+5.0	0/5	n=5
at home + under this head coach	11-6	65%from 44%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 65%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
at this venue + under this head coach	11-6	65%from 44%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 65%	+2.0	17/17	n=17
in December + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	-0.6	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	-0.6	8/8	n=8
vs HOU + on grass	3-2	60%from 67%	+2.9	0/5	n=5
outdoors + under this head coach	16-13	55%from 47%	+0.5	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-13	55%from 55%	+0.5	29/29	n=29
in December + on grass	43-36	54%from 50%	-0.5	5/79	n=79
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 54%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 54%	-1.9	5/11	n=11
+ at this venue	24-31	44%from 54%	-3.3	5/55	n=55
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 44%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 44%	-1.5	5/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + in December	28-26	52%from 49%	-1.0	5/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 52%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	21-16	57%from 52%	-0.5	2/37	n=37
+ at this venue	12-16	43%from 57%	-3.5	2/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 57%	-0.2	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	26-23	53%from 52%	-0.6	3/49	n=49
+ on grass	21-16	57%from 53%	-0.5	2/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 53%	+1.0	3/8	n=8
+ at this venue	12-16	43%from 53%	-3.5	2/28	n=28
+ at this venue	12-16	43%from 52%	-3.5	2/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 43%	-0.2	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 52%	-3.1	5/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.