How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
DEN — the basics
427 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 100-111 | 47% | -1.3 | 25/211 | n=211 |
| vs NYJ | 9-6 | 60% | +4.7 | 3/15 | n=15 |
| in the Sunday early window | 41-45 | 48% | -1.9 | 10/86 | n=86 |
| in December | 50-64 | 44% | -1.5 | 13/114 | n=114 |
| outdoors | 185-197 | 48% | -0.5 | 42/382 | n=382 |
| on turf | 37-47 | 44% | -2.9 | 15/84 | n=84 |
| at this venue | 5-3 | 63% | -1.6 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| under this head coach | 27-26 | 51% | +1.4 | 53/53 | n=53 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 42-45 | 48% | +0.2 | 53/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
DEN — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game | n=427 |
| DEN has covered 3 straight | n=3 |
DEN — combinations
33 lean DEN · 42 lean against
Read this first. 101 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs NYJ + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 60% | +5.6 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + at this venue | 5-2 | 71%from 47% | +3.4 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| on turf + at this venue | 5-2 | 71%from 44% | -1.1 | 1/7 | n=7 |
| on the road + vs NYJ | 5-3 | 63%from 47% | +3.1 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 63% | +5.6 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 5-3 | 63%from 63% | +3.1 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 63% | +5.6 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 63% | -0.4 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 63% | -0.4 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| outdoors + at this venue | 5-3 | 63%from 48% | -1.6 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| vs NYJ + outdoors | 9-6 | 60%from 60% | +4.7 | 3/15 | n=15 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 60% | +5.6 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -0.4 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-3 | 40%from 60% | +0.2 | 3/5 | n=5 |
| vs NYJ + at this venue | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -0.4 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 48% | -0.8 | 10/18 | n=18 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 23-19 | 55%from 48% | +1.5 | 42/42 | n=42 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 23-19 | 55%from 55% | +1.5 | 42/42 | n=42 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 36-34 | 51%from 48% | +0.7 | 42/70 | n=70 |
| under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons | 27-26 | 51%from 51% | +1.4 | 53/53 | n=53 |
| in the Sunday early window + in December | 11-11 | 50%from 48% | +0.1 | 1/22 | n=22 |
| + on turf | 4-3 | 57%from 50% | +3.8 | 1/7 | n=7 |
| + outdoors | 7-9 | 44%from 50% | -3.0 | 0/16 | n=16 |
| in the Sunday early window + under this head coach | 5-5 | 50%from 48% | -3.9 | 10/10 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | -3.9 | 10/10 | n=10 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.