BUF at GB—

ST Model BUF -0.5

Trends · player props · 2026 week 14

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BUF — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-101	52%	+0.1	77/209	n=209
vs GB	3-4	43%	-1.0	2/7	n=7
on Sunday night	9-14	39%	-4.7	16/23	n=23
in December	57-55	51%	+0.6	38/112	n=112
outdoors	196-182	52%	+0.6	138/378	n=378
on grass	62-60	51%	-0.9	41/122	n=122
under this head coach	85-73	54%	+2.3	158/158	n=158
in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%	+2.8	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BUF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423

BUF — combinations

33 lean BUF · 25 lean against

Read this first. 80 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + in December	31-23	57%from 52%	+1.1	18/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	12-6	67%from 57%	+4.8	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 67%	+2.6	10/10	n=10
+ outdoors	28-18	61%from 57%	+2.5	14/46	n=46
+ under this head coach	10-4	71%from 61%	+5.9	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 61%	+4.9	7/7	n=7
+ on grass	18-15	55%from 61%	+0.2	9/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 57%	+2.6	10/10	n=10
+ on grass	19-15	56%from 57%	+0.6	10/34	n=34
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 56%	+7.7	10/10	n=10
on grass + under this head coach	23-18	56%from 51%	+2.0	41/41	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 56%	+3.5	22/22	n=22
in December + on grass	19-15	56%from 51%	+0.6	10/34	n=34
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 56%	+7.7	10/10	n=10
on the road + under this head coach	42-35	55%from 52%	+2.3	77/77	n=77
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 55%	+2.4	44/44	n=44
in December + outdoors	54-46	54%from 51%	+1.7	34/100	n=100
+ on grass	18-15	55%from 54%	+0.2	9/33	n=33
+ under this head coach	6-3	67%from 55%	+7.3	9/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	18-16	53%from 54%	+3.2	34/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 53%	+2.9	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 54%	+2.9	18/18	n=18
outdoors + under this head coach	73-65	53%from 52%	+2.2	138/138	n=138
+ in the last 5 seasons	42-39	52%from 53%	+3.1	81/81	n=81
on the road + outdoors	90-81	53%from 52%	+0.3	58/171	n=171
+ under this head coach	31-27	53%from 53%	+1.8	58/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-16	53%from 53%	+3.0	34/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-16	53%from 53%	+3.0	34/34	n=34
+ on grass	58-56	51%from 53%	-1.0	37/114	n=114
+ under this head coach	20-17	54%from 51%	+1.8	37/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 51%	+3.5	22/22	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

GB — the basics

442 graded games since 1999

at home	124-96	56%	+1.9	62/220	n=220
vs BUF	4-3	57%	+1.0	1/7	n=7
on Sunday night	31-20	61%	+2.1	19/51	n=51
in December	63-45	58%	+1.4	27/108	n=108
outdoors	199-160	55%	+1.2	103/359	n=359
on grass	187-146	56%	+1.5	95/333	n=333
at this venue	123-95	56%	+2.0	61/218	n=218
under this head coach	67-58	54%	+0.9	125/125	n=125
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+0.7	89/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

GB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 442 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=442
GB has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

GB — combinations

138 lean GB · 0 lean against

Read this first. 154 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Sunday night + in December	10-2	83%from 61%	+10.3	5/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 83%	+15.6	5/5	n=5
+ outdoors	9-2	82%from 83%	+9.0	4/11	n=11
+ on grass	7-2	78%from 82%	+8.3	3/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 82%	+4.9	3/7	n=7
+ on grass	7-2	78%from 83%	+8.3	3/9	n=9
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 78%	+4.9	3/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 83%	+4.9	3/7	n=7
on Sunday night + in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 61%	+6.0	12/12	n=12
on Sunday night + under this head coach	14-5	74%from 61%	+4.3	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 74%	+6.0	12/12	n=12
at home + on Sunday night	15-8	65%from 56%	+3.7	8/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	7-1	88%from 65%	+7.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 88%	+5.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 65%	+5.6	5/5	n=5
+ in December	5-2	71%from 65%	+4.9	3/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.9	3/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.9	3/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.9	3/7	n=7
+ on grass	15-8	65%from 65%	+3.7	8/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	7-1	88%from 65%	+7.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 65%	+5.6	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	14-8	64%from 65%	+3.7	8/22	n=22
+ outdoors	14-8	64%from 65%	+3.7	8/22	n=22
+ under this head coach	7-1	88%from 64%	+7.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 64%	+5.6	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	14-8	64%from 64%	+3.7	8/22	n=22
+ at this venue	14-8	64%from 64%	+3.7	8/22	n=22
+ at this venue	14-8	64%from 65%	+3.7	8/22	n=22
+ under this head coach	7-1	88%from 64%	+7.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 64%	+5.6	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.