ATL at CLE—

ST Model ATL -3.1

Trends · player props · 2026 week 14

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-106	50%	-0.2	23/212	n=212
vs CLE	2-4	33%	-5.8	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in December	52-56	48%	-0.4	13/108	n=108
outdoors	85-82	51%	+0.0	13/167	n=167
on grass	62-62	50%	+0.3	13/124	n=124
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

23 lean ATL · 39 lean against

Read this first. 83 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
outdoors + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 51%	-3.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	-4.9	10/10	n=10
on grass + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 50%	-3.3	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 54%	-3.9	11/11	n=11
in December + outdoors	22-19	54%from 48%	-0.4	3/41	n=41
+ on grass	18-17	51%from 54%	-0.8	2/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 51%	-2.4	2/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 54%	-1.9	2/9	n=9
outdoors + on grass	60-54	53%from 51%	+0.7	10/114	n=114
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 53%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-5.9	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 53%	-3.7	8/22	n=22
on the road + outdoors	77-70	52%from 50%	+0.4	13/147	n=147
+ under this head coach	7-6	54%from 52%	-3.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	-4.9	10/10	n=10
+ on grass	59-54	52%from 52%	+0.7	10/113	n=113
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 52%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-12	43%from 52%	-4.0	8/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-15	46%from 52%	-3.4	10/28	n=28
on the road + under this head coach	12-11	52%from 50%	-0.7	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 52%	-1.8	17/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window + on grass	36-35	51%from 45%	-1.3	4/71	n=71
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 51%	-2.5	3/13	n=13
on the road + in December	29-29	50%from 50%	-0.8	7/58	n=58
+ outdoors	22-17	56%from 50%	+0.0	3/39	n=39
+ on grass	18-17	51%from 56%	-0.8	2/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 56%	-1.8	2/8	n=8
+ on grass	19-19	50%from 50%	-0.9	4/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 50%	-1.4	4/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 50%	-0.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 43%	-1.3	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 50%	-1.9	5/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CLE — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

at home	95-109	47%	-1.6	0/204	n=204
vs ATL	4-2	67%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window	133-171	44%	-2.0	0/304	n=304
in December	49-62	44%	-3.3	0/111	n=111
outdoors	171-211	45%	-2.0	0/382	n=382
on grass	148-172	46%	-1.9	0/320	n=320
at this venue	95-108	47%	-1.6	0/203	n=203
in the last 5 seasons	36-48	43%	-2.2	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CLE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=415
CLE has covered 3 straight	n=3

CLE — combinations

19 lean CLE · 71 lean against

Read this first. 100 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ATL + in the Sunday early window	4-2	67%from 67%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
at home + in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	30-33	48%from 46%	-1.4	0/63	n=63
at home + at this venue	95-108	47%from 47%	-1.6	0/203	n=203
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
outdoors + at this venue	95-108	47%from 45%	-1.6	0/203	n=203
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
at home + outdoors	95-109	47%from 47%	-1.6	0/204	n=204
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	95-108	47%from 47%	-1.6	0/203	n=203
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
+ on grass	94-109	46%from 47%	-1.7	0/203	n=203
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 46%	-0.3	0/41	n=41
+ at this venue	94-108	47%from 46%	-1.7	0/202	n=202
on grass + at this venue	94-108	47%from 46%	-1.7	0/202	n=202
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 47%	-0.3	0/41	n=41
at home + on grass	94-109	46%from 47%	-1.7	0/203	n=203
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 46%	-0.3	0/41	n=41
+ at this venue	94-108	47%from 46%	-1.7	0/202	n=202
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 47%	-0.3	0/41	n=41
outdoors + on grass	145-169	46%from 45%	-1.9	0/314	n=314
+ in the last 5 seasons	29-32	48%from 46%	-1.6	0/61	n=61
+ at this venue	94-108	47%from 46%	-1.7	0/202	n=202
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 47%	-0.3	0/41	n=41

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.