How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
KC — the basics
441 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 115-101 | 53% | +0.5 | 112/216 | n=216 |
| vs LAR | 5-1 | 83% | +19.0 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| on Thursday night | 10-10 | 50% | +1.1 | 16/20 | n=20 |
| in December | 56-54 | 51% | +1.1 | 55/110 | n=110 |
| indoors | 22-24 | 48% | -0.3 | 31/46 | n=46 |
| on turf | 43-49 | 47% | -1.5 | 61/92 | n=92 |
| at this venue | 2-4 | 33% | -1.7 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| under this head coach | 122-112 | 52% | +1.8 | 234/234 | n=234 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 44-52 | 46% | -0.3 | 96/96 | n=96 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
KC — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game | n=441 |
KC — combinations
18 lean KC · 48 lean against
Read this first. 81 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on Thursday night + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 50% | +0.2 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| on Thursday night + under this head coach | 9-7 | 56%from 50% | +2.3 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 56% | +0.2 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| indoors + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 48% | +1.3 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| in December + indoors | 5-4 | 56%from 51% | -3.9 | 5/9 | n=9 |
| + on turf | 5-3 | 63%from 56% | -3.7 | 4/8 | n=8 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 56% | -0.9 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 62-50 | 55%from 53% | +2.3 | 112/112 | n=112 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 20-25 | 44%from 55% | -1.3 | 45/45 | n=45 |
| in December + under this head coach | 30-25 | 55%from 51% | +2.3 | 55/55 | n=55 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-10 | 50%from 55% | -0.3 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| indoors + under this head coach | 16-15 | 52%from 48% | +1.4 | 31/31 | n=31 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 52% | +1.3 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| in December + in the last 5 seasons | 10-10 | 50%from 51% | -0.3 | 20/20 | n=20 |
| on the road + on Thursday night | 4-4 | 50%from 53% | +3.4 | 7/8 | n=8 |
| + under this head coach | 4-3 | 57%from 50% | +5.4 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| in December + on turf | 10-11 | 48%from 51% | -2.4 | 12/21 | n=21 |
| + under this head coach | 6-6 | 50%from 48% | +0.4 | 12/12 | n=12 |
| on the road + in December | 24-27 | 47%from 53% | -1.5 | 24/51 | n=51 |
| + indoors | 5-4 | 56%from 47% | -3.9 | 5/9 | n=9 |
| + on turf | 5-3 | 63%from 56% | -3.7 | 4/8 | n=8 |
| + under this head coach | 3-2 | 60%from 56% | -0.9 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + under this head coach | 13-11 | 54%from 47% | +2.8 | 24/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 54% | -2.8 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + on turf | 8-9 | 47%from 47% | -3.8 | 8/17 | n=17 |
| + under this head coach | 4-4 | 50%from 47% | -1.2 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 47% | -2.8 | 8/8 | n=8 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.