HOU at PIT—

ST Model HOU -2.2

Trends · player props · 2026 week 13

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs PIT	4-5	44%	+2.9	2/9	n=9
on Sunday night	5-8	38%	-5.3	2/13	n=13
in December	49-54	48%	-0.9	13/103	n=103
outdoors	101-99	51%	+1.0	24/200	n=200
on grass	116-117	50%	+0.6	14/233	n=233
at this venue	2-3	40%	+6.3	1/5	n=5
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

28 lean HOU · 19 lean against

Read this first. 69 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in December + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 48%	+0.9	13/21	n=21
on grass + under this head coach	8-6	57%from 50%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 50%	+5.1	14/25	n=25
in December + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 48%	-1.5	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 54%	-1.5	13/13	n=13
outdoors + on grass	80-69	54%from 51%	+2.4	14/149	n=149
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 54%	+6.2	14/23	n=23
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 54%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
in December + on grass	34-30	53%from 48%	+1.3	4/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 53%	+7.3	4/6	n=6
on the road + on grass	60-55	52%from 48%	+2.2	14/115	n=115
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 52%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 52%	+5.1	14/25	n=25
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	29-27	52%from 52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
on the road + under this head coach	15-14	52%from 48%	+1.7	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-14	52%from 52%	+1.7	29/29	n=29
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	23-22	51%from 48%	+1.6	29/45	n=45
in December + outdoors	26-26	50%from 48%	+0.0	5/52	n=52
+ on grass	24-20	55%from 50%	+2.1	4/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 55%	+7.3	4/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	+0.8	5/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 50%	-2.4	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 40%	-2.4	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

at home	123-100	55%	+1.7	0/223	n=223
vs HOU	5-4	56%	-2.9	0/9	n=9
on Sunday night	28-31	47%	-0.9	0/59	n=59
in December	62-52	54%	+1.1	0/114	n=114
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	117-97	55%	+1.7	0/214	n=214
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

61 lean PIT · 23 lean against

Read this first. 103 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + vs HOU	3-2	60%from 55%	-6.3	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	-6.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-6.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-6.3	0/5	n=5
vs HOU + at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	-6.3	0/5	n=5
on Sunday night + in December	7-5	58%from 47%	+3.1	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	7-5	58%from 58%	+3.1	0/12	n=12
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 58%	+4.5	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	4-4	50%from 58%	+3.8	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 58%	+4.5	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	4-4	50%from 58%	+3.8	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	+4.1	0/6	n=6
at home + in the last 5 seasons	25-18	58%from 55%	+0.3	0/43	n=43
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	25-18	58%from 55%	+0.3	0/43	n=43
at home + in December	35-27	56%from 55%	+1.6	0/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 56%	+0.5	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	35-27	56%from 56%	+1.6	0/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 56%	+0.5	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	33-27	55%from 56%	+1.3	0/60	n=60
+ on grass	23-22	51%from 56%	+1.0	0/45	n=45
+ at this venue	33-27	55%from 56%	+1.3	0/60	n=60
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 55%	+0.5	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	23-22	51%from 56%	+1.0	0/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 51%	+0.5	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 51%	+1.0	0/45	n=45

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.