TEN at JAX—

ST Model JAX -11.9

Trends · player props · 2026 week 12

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

TEN — the basics

421 graded games since 1999

on the road	98-117	46%	-1.0	0/215	n=215
vs JAX	25-25	50%	-0.3	0/50	n=50
in a division game	68-94	42%	-2.7	0/162	n=162
in the Sunday late window	24-31	44%	-1.3	0/55	n=55
in November	45-54	45%	+0.0	0/99	n=99
outdoors	164-200	45%	-0.9	0/364	n=364
on grass	154-180	46%	-0.5	0/334	n=334
at this venue	11-14	44%	-1.7	0/25	n=25
in the last 5 seasons	35-47	43%	-1.8	0/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 421 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=421
TEN has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

TEN — combinations

18 lean TEN · 142 lean against

Read this first. 179 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs JAX + in the Sunday late window	5-2	71%from 50%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
in a division game + in the Sunday late window	8-4	67%from 42%	+2.9	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 67%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-3	67%from 67%	+3.5	0/9	n=9
in the Sunday late window + in November	7-5	58%from 44%	+3.3	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	6-4	60%from 58%	+4.1	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 60%	+4.1	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 58%	+4.1	0/10	n=10
vs JAX + in a division game	25-25	50%from 50%	-0.3	0/50	n=50
+ in the Sunday late window	5-2	71%from 50%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.5	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	25-25	50%from 50%	-0.3	0/50	n=50
+ on grass	25-25	50%from 50%	-0.3	0/50	n=50
+ at this venue	11-14	44%from 50%	-1.7	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 50%	-4.4	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	25-25	50%from 50%	-0.3	0/50	n=50
+ at this venue	11-14	44%from 50%	-1.7	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 50%	-4.4	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	11-14	44%from 50%	-1.7	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 44%	-5.4	0/5	n=5
+ in November	6-9	40%from 50%	-3.6	0/15	n=15
+ outdoors	6-9	40%from 40%	-3.6	0/15	n=15
+ on grass	6-9	40%from 40%	-3.6	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	2-5	29%from 40%	-5.2	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 50%	-4.4	0/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

at home	96-113	46%	-0.3	10/209	n=209
vs TEN	25-25	50%	+0.3	2/50	n=50
in a division game	84-73	54%	+0.6	6/157	n=157
in the Sunday late window	34-37	48%	-2.5	4/71	n=71
in November	48-43	53%	+0.2	5/91	n=91
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on grass	152-170	47%	-0.6	15/322	n=322
at this venue	90-108	45%	-0.5	10/198	n=198
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

171 lean JAX · 32 lean against

Read this first. 225 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	5-1	83%from 54%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
on grass + under this head coach	11-4	73%from 47%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-4	73%from 73%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
at home + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 46%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
at this venue + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 45%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 53%	+0.9	5/17	n=17
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	19-11	63%from 54%	+2.8	6/30	n=30
vs TEN + in November	9-6	60%from 50%	+3.6	1/15	n=15
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 60%	+5.2	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	9-6	60%from 60%	+3.6	1/15	n=15
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 60%	+5.2	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	9-6	60%from 60%	+3.6	1/15	n=15
+ on grass	9-6	60%from 60%	+3.6	1/15	n=15
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 60%	+5.2	0/7	n=7
vs TEN + in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 50%	+4.4	2/10	n=10
in November + under this head coach	3-2	60%from 53%	+7.7	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+7.7	5/5	n=5
in November + at this venue	25-19	57%from 53%	+1.5	1/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 57%	+3.6	1/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.